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《中国工程科学》 >> 2019年 第21卷 第4期 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2019.04.021

伊朗铁路建设市场需求、机遇及挑战评估:基于中资企业视角

1. 重庆交通大学经济与管理学院,重庆400074;

2. 重庆交通大学欧洲研究中心,重庆400074;

3. 中国路桥工程有限责任公司,北京100011

资助项目 :中国工程院咨询项目“‘一带一路’交通基础设施发展战略研究”(2018-ZX-11-01);国家社会科学基金重点项目(16AGJ007);重庆市社会科学规划项目(2017QNGL58) 收稿日期: 2018-10-15 修回日期: 2019-07-10

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摘要

伊朗铁路经过百年发展,在伊朗综合运输体系中占据重要地位。为满足伊朗国内经济社会发展需要,发挥国际交通枢纽的区位优势,伊朗制定了为期10 年的铁路发展规划,计划到2025 年,铁路网络既有线路全部实现电气化改造,复线率提升至100%,并且实现铁路里程翻番目标。伊朗铁路提升计划为中资企业进入伊朗工程建设市场提供了利好和机遇,中资企业参与伊朗铁路提升计划也面临“伊核协议”不确定性、营商环境不佳、铁路建设领域大国“角逐”,以及技术标准选择偏好等四方面的挑战。研究建议,中资企业参与伊朗铁路建设市场,不仅需要敏锐捕捉机会,也需要谨慎评估存在的风险;结合国际政治经济形势,综合权衡成本和收益,进行理性决策,在响应“一带一路”倡议过程中,稳健地实施“走出去”战略。

关键词

伊朗 ; 铁路 ; 中资企业 ; 机遇 ; 挑战

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