《中国工程科学》 >> 2019年 第21卷 第4期 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2019.04.021
伊朗铁路建设市场需求、机遇及挑战评估:基于中资企业视角
1. 重庆交通大学经济与管理学院,重庆400074;
2. 重庆交通大学欧洲研究中心,重庆400074;
3. 中国路桥工程有限责任公司,北京100011
下一篇 上一篇
摘要
伊朗铁路经过百年发展,在伊朗综合运输体系中占据重要地位。为满足伊朗国内经济社会发展需要,发挥国际交通枢纽的区位优势,伊朗制定了为期10 年的铁路发展规划,计划到2025 年,铁路网络既有线路全部实现电气化改造,复线率提升至100%,并且实现铁路里程翻番目标。伊朗铁路提升计划为中资企业进入伊朗工程建设市场提供了利好和机遇,中资企业参与伊朗铁路提升计划也面临“伊核协议”不确定性、营商环境不佳、铁路建设领域大国“角逐”,以及技术标准选择偏好等四方面的挑战。研究建议,中资企业参与伊朗铁路建设市场,不仅需要敏锐捕捉机会,也需要谨慎评估存在的风险;结合国际政治经济形势,综合权衡成本和收益,进行理性决策,在响应“一带一路”倡议过程中,稳健地实施“走出去”战略。
参考文献
[ 1 ]
范鸿达. 中国在伊朗推进“一带一路”战略倡议的政治环境与因 应 [J]. 西亚非洲, 2016 (2): 49–64. Fan H D. China’s “The Belt and Road” initiate in Iran: political environment and coping style [J]. West Asia and Africa, 2016 (2): 49–64.
Fan H D. China’s “The Belt and Road” initiate in Iran: political environment and coping style [J]. West Asia and Africa, 2016 (2): 49–64. Chinese.
链接1
[ 2 ] Railways of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Main lines constructed before the Islamic revolution [EB/OL]. (2015-01-14) [2018-10-12]. http://www.rai.ir/Index.aspx?page_=form&lang=2&PageID=623 &tempname=EngMain2&sub=0&blockid=block1340. 链接1
[ 3 ] Railways of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The railways of the Islamic Republic of Iran [EB/OL]. (2015-01-14) [2018-10-12]. http://www.rai.ir//dorsapax/Data/Sub_0/File/Introduction.pdf. 链接1
[ 4 ] Statistical Center of Iran. Iran statistical yearbook 2015-2016 [EB/ OL]. (2018-01-9) [2018-10-12]. https://www.amar.org.ir/Portals/1/ yearbook/1394/12.pdf. 链接1
[ 5 ]
雷洋, 黄承锋, 陈泽. 伊朗交通基础设施现状与发展前景评估 [J]. 世界地理研究, 2018, 27(2): 45–54. Lei Y, Huang C F, Chen Z. The situation and development prospect of transportation infrastructure in Iran [J]. World Regional Studies, 2018, 27(2): 45–54.
Lei Y, Huang C F, Chen Z. The situation and development prospect of transportation infrastructure in Iran [J]. World Regional Studies, 2018, 27(2): 45–54. Chinese.
链接1
[ 6 ] Rogers D. Iran´s railway revolution [EB/OL]. (2015-12-14) [2018- 10-12]. http://www.globalconstructionreview.com/markets/howislamic-republic-set-become-land-br8i8d8ge/. 链接1
[ 7 ] Railways of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Investment & participation/opportunities [EB/OL]. (2015-10-30) [2018-10-12]. http://www.rai.ir/Index.aspx?page_=form&lang=2&PageID=2809 &tempname=EngMain2&sub=0&blockid=block1342. 链接1
[ 8 ]
张志东, 王晓民. 伊朗优质矿藏有待开发 [J]. 世界有色金属, 2012 (4): 20–25. Zhang Z D, Wang X M. Iran’s high-quality minerals are yet to be developed [J]. World Nonferrous Metals, 2012 (4): 20–25.
Zhang Z D, Wang X M. Iran’s high-quality minerals are yet to be developed [J]. World Nonferrous Metals, 2012 (4): 20–25. Chinese.
链接1
[ 9 ]
冀开运, 冀佩琳. 伊朗人口政策的演变及特点 [J]. 长安大学学 报(社会科学版), 2014, 16(1): 84–88. Ji K Y, Ji P L. Characteristics of evolution of Iranian population policy [J]. Journal of Chang’an University (Social Science Edition), 2014, 16(1): 84–88.
Ji K Y, Ji P L. Characteristics of evolution of Iranian population policy [J]. Journal of Chang’an University (Social Science Edition), 2014, 16(1): 84–88. Chinese.
链接1
[10] United Nations Statistics Division. Population censuses´ datasets [EB/OL]. (2018-02-20) [2018-10-12]. http://data.un.org/Data. aspx?d=POP&f=tableCode%3a1. 链接1
[11] Department of Economic and Social Affairs. World population prospects the 2017 revision, key Findings and advance tables [EB/ OL]. [2018-10-12]. https://population.un.org/wpp/Publications/ Files/WPP2017_KeyFindings.pdf. 链接1
[12] Verily. Population and housing censuses [R/OL]. [2018-10- 12]. https://www.amar.org.ir/english/Population-and-HousingCensuses. 链接1
[13] Financial Tribune. China finances Tehran-Isfahan highspeed railroad [EB/OL]. (2017-07-21) [2018-10-12]. https:// financialtribune.com/articles/economy-domestic-economy/68698/ china-finances-tehran-isfahan-high-speed-railroad. 链接1
[14]
杨韬. 中国海外工程承包企业竞争力分析 [J]. 国际经济合作, 2014 (1): 17–24. Yang T. Analysis on the competitiveness of China’s overseas engineering contracting enterprises[J]. International Economic Cooperation, 2014 (1): 17–24.
Yang T. Analysis on the competitiveness of China’s overseas engineering contracting enterprises [J]. International Economic Cooperation, 2014 (1): 17–24. Chinese.
链接1
[15] Financial Tribune. Tehran-Mashhad railroad project gets off the ground [EB/OL]. (2017-12-19) [2018-10-12]. https:// financialtribune.com/articles/domestic-economy/78248/tehranmashhad-railroad-project-gets-off-the-ground. 链接1
[16] Kristalina G. Doing business 2018 reforming to create jobs [R]. Washington: World Bank, 2018.
[17]
陆瑾. 历史与现实视阈下的中伊合作: 基于伊朗人对“一带一 路”认知的解读 [J]. 西亚非洲, 2015 (6): 53–69. Lu J. China Iranian cooperation in history and modern times: An explanation-based Iranians views of “The Belt and Road” initiate [J]. West Asia and Africa, 2015 (6): 53–69.
Lu J. China Iranian cooperation in history and modern times: An explanation-based Iranians views of “The Belt and Road” initiative [J]. West Asia and Africa, 2015 (6): 53–69. Chinese.
链接1