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Strategic Study of CAE >> 2017, Volume 19, Issue 1 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.012

Technology Foresight Research on China’s Environmental Engineering Science and Technology to 2035

1. Technology Center for Heavy Metal Cleaner Production Engineering, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China;

2. Research Institute of Forest Ecology, Environment and Protection, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China;

3. School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China

Funding project:中国工程院咨询项目“中国工程科技2035发展战略研究”(2015-ZD-14) Received: 2016-12-09 Revised: 2016-12-20 Available online: 2017-02-23 09:42:52.000

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Abstract

The Delphi method is the most common method of technology foresight, which is a significant basis for establishing development strategies and policies of science and technology. This study proposes 45 alternative technologies in the field of environmental engineering science and technology through a literature survey, experts' advice, and discussion meetings. These technologies relate to air pollution prevention and control; water pollution prevention and control; soil pollution prevention and control; solid waste pollution prevention, control, and utilization; ecological protection and restoration; environmental monitoring, early warning, and risk control; resource utilization and cleaner production. Based on results that were obtained according to the Delphi method, this research analyzes the realization time, R&D level, and restriction factors for the key technologies, common technologies, and disruptive technologies that were determined for 2035. This study provides a reference for establishing development strategies and objectives for China’s environmental engineering science and technology over the next 20 years.

References

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