2017, Volume 19, Issue 5
Strategic Study of CAE >> 2017, Volume 19, Issue 5 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.05.016
Analysis on Current and Potential Use of Technology Forecasting Tools in the U.S. Federal Government Agencies
China Aerospace Academy of Systems Science and Engineering, Beijing 100048, China
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Abstract
The report entitled Current and Potential Use of Technology Forecasting Tools in the U.S. Federal Government released by the Institute for Defense Analyses summed up the current state and capabilities of technology forecasting tools desired by the U.S. federal government agencies. On the basis of this report, this paper summarizes the application of the technology forecasting tools of the U.S. federal government agencies, and provides reference for the development of corresponding technical forecasting tools in China.
References
[ 1 ] Sylak-Glassman E J, Williams S R., Gupta N. Current and poten-tial use of technology forecasting tools in the U.S. Federal Gov-ernment [R]. Virginia: Institute for Defense Analyses, 2016. link1
[ 2 ] National Research Council (NRC), Committee on Forecasting Fu-ture Disruptive Technologies. Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies [R]. Washington, DC: National Academies Press, 2010. link1
[ 3 ] Wolfers J, Zitzewitz E. Prediction markets [J]. Journal of Econom-ic Perspectives, 2004, 18(2): 107–126. link1
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