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Strategic Study of CAE >> 2004, Volume 6, Issue 8

Building Fire Direct Loss Evaluation Based on Fire Dynamics and Probability Statistics Theory

State Key Laboratory of Fire Science, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China

Funding project:国家重点基础研究发展规划“九七三”资助项目(2001CB409600);中国科学院“百人计划” 资助项目;国家自然科学基金重大国际合作研究资助项目(2003-50320120156) Received: 2003-11-26 Available online: 2004-08-20

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Abstract

Based on fire growth probability and burned area, the method for evaluating burned area in building fire is presented in this paper. According to fire dynamics and different characteristics in fire growth process, the process is divided into four phases. By means of probability theory and event tree analysis, fire growth probability and critical time of every phase are calculated. Average burned area of building can be evaluated.

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References

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