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Strategic Study of CAE >> 2004, Volume 6, Issue 12

Discovery of the Triggering Factor on Exceptional Serious Natural Disasters and Its Physical Study

Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China

Funding project:国家科技部重大基础研究前期研究专项资助项目(2002CCD02100) Received: 2004-08-05 Revised: 2004-08-30 Available online: 2004-12-20

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Abstract

Applying the traditional Chinese whole view thought and the principles of the modern statistics, meteorology and seismology, it is found that most natural disasters of a sudden (include the extraordinary rainstorm, typhoon sudden change, impending violent earthquake,volcanic eruption, etc. ) are triggered by tide-generating force resonance at collinearity of three stars when the internal conditions are satisfied. Using the internal-external cause coupling method to predict extraordinary rainstorms and impending violent earthquakes, the success rate is respectively about 72.7 % and 40 % . This study program include serie observation experiments to test whether there exist amplifications of the gravitational force and the electromagnetic force at the time of collinearity of three stars and sets up the forecasting mode of extraordinary rainstorm.

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