2013, Volume 15, Issue 10
Strategic Study of CAE >> 2013, Volume 15, Issue 10
Salt rock underground energy storage integrated risk assessment and management system
1. State Key Laboratory of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation of Explosion and Impact, PLA University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210007, China;
2. Research Center of Geotechnical and Structural Engineering, Shandong University, Jinan 250061, China;
3. China Railway 16th Burean Group Co. Ltd, Beijing 100018, China
Next Previous
Abstract
The underground energy storage utilizing salt rock caverns is the national key strategic development of energy reserves. Salt mines in China are characterized as shallow burial, stratified distribution and multiple interlayers, that increasing the possibility of storage disasters. Therefore, establishing a synthetic evaluation system for the risk of underground salt rock energy storage is of a great necessity. Based on the statistical analysis of salt rock underground storage risk events, the main risk factors have been attained and the risk of underground storage has been identified. Accordingly, the underground storage risk assessment method and criterion have been set, the risk probability is calculated by the numerical simulation to assess the risk level of Jintan salt rock storage, and a model test has been conducted to verify the result, Underground Salt Rock Gas Storage Risk Information Management and Assessment has been developed via computer network technology, and salt rock underground energy storage risk integrated assessment and management system has been established.
Figures
图1
图2
图3
图4
图5
图6
图7
图8
图9
图10
图11
图12
图13
图14
图15
图16
图17
References
[ 1 ] 贾 超，张强勇，张 宁，等. 盐岩地下储气库风险分级机制初 探[J]. 岩土力学，2009，12（30）：3621-3626. link1
[ 2 ] Bernstein P L. 与天为敌：风险探索传奇[M]. 穆瑞年译. 北京：机 械工业出版社，2007.
[ 3 ] Cooper D，Chapman C. Risk analysis for large projects：Models， Methods and Cases [M]. Chichester：John Wiley & Sons，2002： 303-313.
[ 4 ] Einstein H H. Risk and risk analysis in rock engineering [J]. Tunneling & Underground Space Technology，1996，11（2）：141- 155. link1
[ 5 ] Søren Degn Eskesen，Per Tengborg，Jørgen Kampmann，et al. Guidelines for tunnelling risk management [J]. Tunneling & Underground Space Technology，2004，19（3）：217-237. link1
[ 6 ] 杨春和，李银平，陈 锋. 层状盐岩力学理论与工程[M]. 北京： 科学出版社，2009.
[ 7 ] 李 媛，张强勇，贾 超，等. 盐岩地下油气储库运营期风险的 故障树分析[J]. 岩土力学，2011，32（4）：1125-1130. link1
[ 8 ] 井文君，杨春和，陈 峰，等. 基于事故统计分析的盐岩地下油/ 气储库风险评价[J]. 岩土力学，2011，32（6）：1787-1793. link1
[ 9 ] 贾 超，刘家涛，张强勇，等. 盐岩储气库运营期时变可靠度计 算及风险分析[J]. 岩土力学，2011，32（5）：1479-1484. link1
[10] 张 宁. 深部层状盐岩地下储气库的风险评价与分析研究 [D]. 济南：山东大学，2012. link1
[11] 李 媛，张强勇，贾 超，等. 盐岩地下油气储库运营期风险的 故障树分析[J]. 岩土力学，2011，32（4）：1125-1137. link1
[12] 陶履彬，李永盛. 工程风险分析理论与实践[M]. 上海：同济大 学出版社，2006：145-151.
[13] Hansen F D，Mellegard K D，Senseny P E. Elasticity and strength of ten natural rock salts [C]// Proceeding of the 1st Conference on Mechanical behavior of salt. Clausthal：Trans，Techn， 1984：71-83.
[14] 刘 宁.可靠度随机有限元法及其工程应用[M]. 北京：中国水 利水电出版社 ，2001：56-58.
[15] Ratigan J L. The influence of seal design on the development of the disturbed rock zone in the WIPP alcove seal tests [R]. Topical Report RSI-0400，1991.
[16] Schober F. Die Berechnung yon Bodenbewegungen fiber kaver nenanigen HohMiumenunter Beachtung der globalen Volumen konvergenz [D]. Clausthal：TU Clausthal，1982.
[17] 张 宁，张强勇，段 抗，等. 盐岩地下储气库地表沉降风险失 效概率的计算分析[J] . 岩石力学与工程学报，2012，31（S2）： 3757-3762. link1
[18] 谭贤君，陈卫忠，杨建平，等. 盐岩储气库温度-渗流-应力-损伤 耦合模型研究[J]. 岩土力学，2009，12（30）：86-94. link1
[19] 高 谦，吴顺川，万林海，等.土木工程可靠性理论及其应用[M]. 北京：中国建材出版社，2007：267-268.
[20] 张强勇，陈旭光，林 波，等. 高地应力真三维加载模型试验系 统的研制及其应用[J]. 岩土工程学报，2010，32（10）：1588- 1593. link1
[21] 张强勇，刘德军，贾 超，等. 盐岩油气储库介质地质力学模型 相似材料的研制[J]. 岩土力学，2009，30（12）：3582-3586. link1
京公网安备 11010502051620号
