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Scenario analysis of the energy demand and CO

Jihong ZHANG, Jian ZHOU, Guangping HU, Tianhou ZHANG

Frontiers in Energy 2010, Volume 4, Issue 4,   Pages 459-468 doi: 10.1007/s11708-010-0119-5

Abstract: In this paper, Beijing was selected as a special case for analysis in order to assess the energy demandResults show that in the high motorization-oriented pattern scenario, total energy demand is about 13.94%higher, and the average CO abatement per year is 3.38 million tons less than in the reference scenarioOn the other hand, in the bus and rail transit-oriented scenario, total energy demand is about 11.57%less, and the average CO abatement is 2.8 million tons more than in the reference scenario.

Keywords： scenario analysis     urban traffic pattern     energy demand     reduction potential    

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Vanadium metabolism investigation using substance flow and scenario analysis

Fangfang ZHANG, Huiquan LI, Bo CHEN, Xue GUAN, Yi ZHANG

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2014, Volume 8, Issue 2,   Pages 256-266 doi: 10.1007/s11783-013-0585-1

Abstract: This study conducts accounting and scenario analysis on the life cycle of vanadium metabolism in ChinaBased on the characteristics of vanadium life cycle and substance flow analysis (SFA) framework, we presentA scenario analysis was conducted to analyze the future developmental trend of vanadium metabolism inChina based on the SFA framework and the qualitative analysis of technology advancement and socio-economicThe scenario analysis indicates that the next 20 years is a critical period for the vanadium industry

Keywords： metabolism     vanadium industry     substance flow analysis     scenario analysis    

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Scenario analysis of water pollution control in the typical peri-urban river using a coupled hydrodynamic-water

Haifeng JIA, Shuo WANG, Mingjie WEI, Yansong ZHANG

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2011, Volume 5, Issue 2,   Pages 255-265 doi: 10.1007/s11783-010-0279-x

Abstract: A coupled model, derived from the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code and Water Quality Analysis SimulationBased on the results of the scenario analysis, a river rehabilitation scheme was recommended for implementation

Keywords： peri-urban river     coupled hydrodynamic-water quality modeling     scenario analysis     river rehabilitation    

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Scenario-based assessment and multi-objective optimization of urban development plan with carrying capacity

Yilei Lu, Yunqing Huang, Siyu Zeng, Can Wang

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2020, Volume 14, Issue 2, doi: 10.1007/s11783-019-1200-x

Abstract: Impact of urban development on water system is assessed with carrying capacity. Impacts on both water resource quantity and environmental quality are involved. Multi-objective optimization revealing system trade-off facilitate the regulation. Efficiency, scale and structure of urban development are regulated in two stages. A roadmap approaching more sustainable development is provided for the case city. Environmental impact assessments and subsequent regulation measures of urban development plans are critical to human progress toward sustainability, since these plans set the scale and structure targets of future socioeconomic development. A three-step methodology for assessing and optimizing an urban development plan focusing on its impacts on the water system was developed. The methodology first predicted the pressure on the water system caused by implementation of the plan under distinct scenarios, then compared the pressure with the carrying capacity threshold to verify the system status; finally, a multi-objective optimization method was used to propose regulation solutions. The methodology enabled evaluation of the water system carrying state, taking socioeconomic development uncertainties into account, and multiple sets of improvement measures under different decisionmaker preferences were generated. The methodology was applied in the case of Zhoushan city in South-east China. The assessment results showed that overloading problems occurred in 11 out of the 13 zones in Zhoushan, with the potential pressure varying from 1.1 to 18.3 times the carrying capacity. As a basic regulation measure, an environmental efficiency upgrade could relieve the overloading in 4 zones and reduce 9%‒63% of the pressure. The optimization of industrial development showed that the pressure could be controlled under the carrying capacity threshold if the planned scale was reduced by 24% and the industrial structure was transformed. Various regulation schemes including a more suitable scale and structure with necessary efficiency standards are provided for decisionmakers that can help the case city approach a more sustainable development pattern.

Keywords： Urban development plan     Urban water system     Carrying capacity     Scenario analysis     Multi-objective optimization    

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China’s pre-2020 CO

Hailin WANG

Frontiers in Energy 2019, Volume 13, Issue 3,   Pages 571-578 doi: 10.1007/s11708-019-0640-0

Abstract: in 2020 and its influences on achieving National Determined Contribution (NDC) target in 2030 with scenarioanalysis.

Keywords： China’s National Determined Contribution     emission reduction potential     scenario analysis     CO2   

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Robust energy-efficient train speed profile optimization in a scenario-based position–time–speed network

Frontiers of Engineering Management 2021, Volume 8, Issue 4,   Pages 595-614 doi: 10.1007/s42524-021-0173-1

Abstract: Specifically, we first construct a scenario-based position–time–speed (PTS) network by considering resistanceparameters as discrete scenario-based random variables., a percentile reliability model is proposed to generate a robust train speed profile, by which the scenario-based

Keywords： robust train speed profile     percentile reliability model     scenario-based position–time–speed network    

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Current scenario and challenges of plastic pollution in Bangladesh: a focus on farmlands and terrestrial

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2023, Volume 17, Issue 6, doi: 10.1007/s11783-023-1666-4

Abstract:

● A global snapshot of plastic waste generation and disposal is analysed.

Keywords： Plastic waste     Farmlands     Terrestrial ecosystem     Marine life    

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Thermal fluid-structure interaction and coupled thermal-stress analysis in a cable stayed bridge exposed

Nazim Abdul NARIMAN

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2018, Volume 12, Issue 4,   Pages 609-628 doi: 10.1007/s11709-018-0452-z

Abstract: In this paper, thermal fluid structure-interaction (TFSI) and coupled thermal-stress analysis are utilized

Keywords： fire scenario     transient heat transfer     TFSI model     coupled thermal-stress     XFEM    

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Seismic progressive-failure analysis of tall steel structures under beam-removal scenarios

Behrouz BEHNAM, Fahimeh SHOJAEI, Hamid Reza RONAGH

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2019, Volume 13, Issue 4,   Pages 904-917 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0525-7

Abstract: is a complex subject because the earthquake damage acts as an initial condition for the subsequent scenario

Keywords： progressive collapse     tall steel moment-resisting frames     non-linear dynamic analysis     beam-removal scenario    

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Exploring price effects on the residential water conservation technology diffusion process: a case study of Tianjin city

Junying CHU, Hao WANG, Can WANG

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2013, Volume 7, Issue 5,   Pages 688-698 doi: 10.1007/s11783-013-0559-3

Abstract: long-term perspective (from year 2011 to 2030) are considered, including BAU (Business As Usual), SP1 (Scenarioof Price increase with constant annual rate), SP2 (Scenario of Price increase every four years) andSP3 (Scenario of Price increase with affordable constraint), considering many factors such as historicSP1, SP2 and SP3, respectively, compared with the BAU scenario in the year 2030.potentially be a helpful tool to provide insights for policy makers on water conservation technology policy analysis

Keywords： technology selection     model optimization     water price     scenario analysis     consumer behavior    

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EXPLORING THE RECYCLING OF MANURE FROM URBAN LIVESTOCK FARMS: A CASE STUDY IN ETHIOPIA

Solomon Tulu TADESSE, Oene OENEMA, Christy van BEEK, Fikre Lemessa OCHO

Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering 2021, Volume 8, Issue 1,   Pages 159-174 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2020375

Abstract: This paper explores the effects of four scenarios: (1) a reference scenario (business as usual), (2)

Keywords： compost     food self-sufficiency     livestock production     nitrogen balance     nitrogen use efficiency     scenarioanalysis    

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Research on Urban Mining Development in China

Sun Xiaofei,Qian Yi,Wen Zongguo,Liu Lili,Shan Guijuan and Li Jinhui

Strategic Study of CAE 2017, Volume 19, Issue 4,   Pages 97-102 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.04.015

Abstract:

China is experiencing a serious shortage of certain mineral reserves, and several important mineral resources are increasingly supplied via foreign imports. This paper proposes urban mining as a promising means of conserving resources and facilitating sustainable economic growth. The author summarizes the origin and meaning of urban mining, and analyzes the development of the ten main types of urban mining in China from 2006 to 2016, which include: scrap iron and steel, scrap non-ferrous metals, electronic waste, and end-of-life vehicles. Next, the author predicts the resource development and utilization potential of urban mining, and evaluates the contribution of urban mining to resource conservation, environmental protection, carbon emissions reduction, and economic development. Based on these analyses, the author presents strategic and policy suggestions to promote urban mining development in China.

Keywords： urban mining     circular economy     resource conservation potential     scenario analysis    

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SWMM-based methodology for block-scale LID-BMPs planning based on site-scale multi-objective optimization: a case study in Tianjin

Te Xu, Haifeng Jia, Zheng Wang, Xuhui Mao, Changqing Xu

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2017, Volume 11, Issue 4, doi: 10.1007/s11783-017-0934-6

Abstract: This method integrated LID-BMP chain layout optimization in site-scale parcels with scenario analysisquantity indices, pollutant loads, and construction costs simultaneously helped select the cost-effective scenarioThe robustness analysis indicated that the selected final planning scheme was considerably robust with

Keywords： Stormwater management     LID-BMPs planning     SWMM     LID-BMP chain     NSGA-II     Scenario analysis    

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Energy Demand and Carbon Emission Peak Paths for the Rise of Central China

Cheng Yunhe, Dong Hongguang, Geng Jichao, He Jishan

Strategic Study of CAE 2021, Volume 23, Issue 1,   Pages 68-78 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2021.01.014

Abstract:

Energy revolution is essential for the coordinated and sustainable development of economy, society, and the environment, and it should coordinate with regional development strategies. Using the Kaya identity, this study categorizes the energy consumption demand brought by the rise of Central China into production and living demand. Energy demand scenarios for the rise of Central China are constructed considering factors such as gross domestic product, industrial structure, urbanization, energy efficiency, per capita income, and residential energy. Accordingly, the low-carbon development paths under energy revolution are analyzed. Urbanization and industrialization will promote the total energy demand in the five provinces in Central China up to 8.4×108–1.01×109 tce in 2035. Moreover, the establishment of a diversified energy supply system can help achieve low-carbon emission, energy security, and efficient utilization of energy; a carbon emission peak is expected to reach before 2030. China should vigorously develop technologies regarding energy conservation and clean and renewable energies. A multi-energy complementary system should be established in China by optimizing the industrial structure, and the existing energy system should be reformed to realize energy cooperation among regions.

Keywords： energy revolution     rise of Central China     Kaya identity     scenario analysis     carbon emission peak    

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Building a Modern Energy System in the Yangtze River Delta

Weng Shilie, Huang Zhen, Yu Lijun, Xie Xiaomin, You Ting, Zhang Tingting

Strategic Study of CAE 2021, Volume 23, Issue 1,   Pages 42-51 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2021.01.008

Abstract:

The Yangtze River Delta is one of the most economically active, open, and innovative regions in China. Further promoting energy revolution, and building a clean, low-carbon, safe, and efficient energy system to promote the coordinated development of the economy, energy, and ecological environment in the Yangtze River Delta is significant to the national strategy of “Integrated Regional Development of the Yangtze River Delta.” This study proposes the idea of building a modern energy system in the Yangtze River Delta based on the local characteristics. The main features, key issues, and overall integration of the system are further discussed. Meanwhile, the economic, environmental, and social benefits brought by the modern energy system to the Yangtze River Delta are predicted. Furthermore, we propose that a unified energy leading agency should be established to build a demonstration area for energy integration; energy system reforms should be deepened to cultivate the energy market; the Internet Plus Smart Energy strategy should be implemented to promote high-quality energy development; and energy technology venture capital funds should be established.

Keywords： integrated development of the Yangtze River Delta     modern energy system     scenario analysis     energy systems    

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Title Author Date Type Operation

Scenario analysis of the energy demand and CO

Jihong ZHANG, Jian ZHOU, Guangping HU, Tianhou ZHANG

Journal Article

Vanadium metabolism investigation using substance flow and scenario analysis

Fangfang ZHANG, Huiquan LI, Bo CHEN, Xue GUAN, Yi ZHANG

Journal Article

Scenario analysis of water pollution control in the typical peri-urban river using a coupled hydrodynamic-water

Haifeng JIA, Shuo WANG, Mingjie WEI, Yansong ZHANG

Journal Article

Scenario-based assessment and multi-objective optimization of urban development plan with carrying capacity

Yilei Lu, Yunqing Huang, Siyu Zeng, Can Wang

Journal Article

China’s pre-2020 CO

Hailin WANG

Journal Article

Robust energy-efficient train speed profile optimization in a scenario-based position–time–speed network

Journal Article

Current scenario and challenges of plastic pollution in Bangladesh: a focus on farmlands and terrestrial

Journal Article

Thermal fluid-structure interaction and coupled thermal-stress analysis in a cable stayed bridge exposed

Nazim Abdul NARIMAN

Journal Article

Seismic progressive-failure analysis of tall steel structures under beam-removal scenarios

Behrouz BEHNAM, Fahimeh SHOJAEI, Hamid Reza RONAGH

Journal Article

Exploring price effects on the residential water conservation technology diffusion process: a case study of Tianjin city

Junying CHU, Hao WANG, Can WANG

Journal Article

EXPLORING THE RECYCLING OF MANURE FROM URBAN LIVESTOCK FARMS: A CASE STUDY IN ETHIOPIA

Solomon Tulu TADESSE, Oene OENEMA, Christy van BEEK, Fikre Lemessa OCHO

Journal Article

Research on Urban Mining Development in China

Sun Xiaofei,Qian Yi,Wen Zongguo,Liu Lili,Shan Guijuan and Li Jinhui

Journal Article

SWMM-based methodology for block-scale LID-BMPs planning based on site-scale multi-objective optimization: a case study in Tianjin

Te Xu, Haifeng Jia, Zheng Wang, Xuhui Mao, Changqing Xu

Journal Article

Energy Demand and Carbon Emission Peak Paths for the Rise of Central China

Cheng Yunhe, Dong Hongguang, Geng Jichao, He Jishan

Journal Article

Building a Modern Energy System in the Yangtze River Delta

Weng Shilie, Huang Zhen, Yu Lijun, Xie Xiaomin, You Ting, Zhang Tingting

Journal Article