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《中国工程科学》 >> 2018年 第20卷 第5期 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.05.018

我国主要农产品供需分析与预测

中国农业科学院农业资源与农业区划研究所,北京 100081

资助项目 :中国工程院咨询项目“中国农业资源环境若干战略问题研究”(2016-ZD-10) 收稿日期: 2018-08-23 修回日期: 2018-08-30 发布日期: 2018-11-30

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摘要

粮食安全始终是关系国民经济发展、社会稳定和国家自立的全局性重大战略问题。弄清食物安全保障程度、科学测算未来国家食物需求量是制定保障食物安全政策的基础性工作。2015 年,我国水稻和小麦供需基本平衡,玉米供大于求,大豆严重依赖进口;棉油糖对外依存度较大,其中食用植物油自给率只有36.9%,棉花87.7%,食糖74.4%;畜禽产品供需基本平衡,奶类需要品种调剂。

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