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《中国工程科学》 >> 2019年 第21卷 第2期 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2019.02.011

我国村镇未来发展的若干趋势判断

中国城市规划设计研究院,北京 100044

资助项目 :中国工程院咨询项目“村镇规划建设与管理‘(2014-ZD-11) 收稿日期: 2019-02-03 修回日期: 2019-03-15 发布日期: 2019-04-15

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摘要

本文通过实地调研和大数据分析相结合的方式,探索我国村镇发展的当前特点及发展趋势。总体而言,预计我国村镇未来将延续三大发展趋势:一是城乡长期共存、农村适度集聚,小城镇在衰落时期正面临新的发展机遇;二是预计未来东中西部的城乡将以不同模式集聚,小城镇内部的分化趋势加剧;三是随着村镇产业的转型升级,新功能、新业态将进入乡村地区;四是随着乡村经济发展水平的持续提升,基本公共服务供给成为基层村镇建设的重点,并进一步影响村镇空间格局的整合重构。

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