《中国工程科学》 >> 2022年 第24卷 第5期 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2022.05.013
南水北调东线工程黄河以北线路优化构想
1. 流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京100038;
2. 中国水利水电科学研究院水资源研究所,北京100038
下一篇 上一篇
摘要
《南水北调工程总体规划》批复近20 年来,我国北方地区水资源供需情势、水生态环境问题均发生深刻变化;优化南水北调后续工程线路,对适应北方地区新发展形势、落实国家重大战略具有重要意义。京津冀地区是南水北调东线后续工程的主要受水区,分析本地区的中长期供求趋势、空间分布及结构特征,可以发现:从长远供求趋势看,京津冀地区水资源缺口为3.9×109~6×109 m3,用水需求的增长点主要是中西部城市区,也是雄安新区等国家战略布局实施的重点保障区域;充分利用现有河渠,新增经白洋淀进京路线,将供水中心西移,使工程线路更侧重覆盖地下水浅层超采区,也更利于补给河湖生态用水;东线后续工程经白洋淀进京方案具有串联水系多、自流覆盖广、调蓄能力强、综合效益高等比较优势,更适应京津冀地区高质量发展的需求。结合南水北调东线后续工程规划建设面临的新形势,梳理工程的功能定位、整体布局、线路走向等关键问题,提出东线后续工程线路优化构想,可为南水北调后续工程高质量发展提供参考。
参考文献
[ 1 ]
杨子桐 , 黄显峰 , 方国华 , 等 . 基于改进云模型的南水北调东线工程效益评价 [J]. 水利水电科技进展 , 2021 , 41 4 : 60 ‒ 66 .
Yang Z T, Huang X F, Fang G H, et al. Benefit evaluation of eastern route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project based on improved cloud mod [J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources, 2021, 41(4):60-66. Chinese.
[ 2 ]
水利部规划计划司 . 认真学习贯彻习近平总书记重要讲话精神 扎实推进南水北调后续工程高质量发展 [J]. 党建 , 2021 8 : 18 ‒ 20 .
Department of Planning and Programming, Ministry of Water Resources. Carefully study and implement the spirit of Xi Jinping’s important speech, promote high quality development of follow-up project of South-to-North Water Diversion [J]. Dangjian, 2021(8):18-20. Chinese.
[ 3 ]
刘晶 , 鲍振鑫 , 刘翠善 , 等 . 近20年中国水资源及用水量变化规律与成因分析 [J]. 水利水运工程学报 , 2019 4 : 31 ‒ 41 .
Liu J, Bao Z X, Liu C S, et al. Change law and cause analysis of water resources and water consumption in China in past 20 years [J]. Hydro-Science and Engineering, 2019(4):31-41. Chinese.
[ 4 ]
章恒全 , 覃颖聪 , 张陈俊 . 中国产业用水量变化驱动效应分解与差异分析 [J]. 水利经济 , 2019 , 37 6 : 1 ‒ 7 .
Zhang H Q, Qin Y C, Zhang C J. Decomposition and difference analysis of dynamic driving effect of industrial water use in China [J]. Journal of Economics of Water Resources, 2019, 37(6):1-7. Chinese.
[ 5 ]
余灏哲 , 李丽娟 , 李九一 . 京津冀水资源承载力风险评估模型构建研究 [J]. 地理研究 , 2021 , 40 9 : 2623 ‒ 2637 .
Yu H Z, Li L J, Li J Y. Construction of risk assessment model of water resources carrying capacity in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region [J]. Geographical Research, 2021, 40(9):2623-2637. Chinese.
[ 6 ]
马睿 , 李云玲 , 贾冬冬 , 等 . 基于多指标的黄河流域空间均衡状态评价 [J]. 南水北调与水利科技 , 2021 , 19 2 : 217 ‒ 225 .
Ma R, Li Y, Jia D D, et al. Evaluation of spatial equilibrium status for the Yellow River Basin based on comprehensive multi-index method [J]. South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology, 2021, 19(2):217-225. Chinese.
[ 7 ]
高建东 , 冯棣 . 1998—2017年海河流域水资源变化趋势分析 [J]. 灌溉排水学报 , 2019 , 38 S2 : 101 ‒ 105 .
Gao J D, Feng D. Analysis on the trend of water resources in Haihe River Basin during 1998-2017 [J]. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 2019, 38(S2):101-105. Chinese.
[ 8 ]
李国英 . 推进南水北调后续工程高质量发展 [N]. 人民日报 , 2021-07-29 13.
Li G Y. Promoting high-quality development of follow-up project of South-to-North Water Diversion Project [N]. People’s Daily, 2021-07-29(13). Chinese.
[ 9 ]
石春先 . 落实六项要求 加强顶层设计 拿出经得起历史和实践检验的规划设计 [J]. 中国水利 , 2021 11 : 1 .
Shi C X. Implementation of the six requirements to strengthen the top-level design and come up with planning and design that can stand the test of history and practice [J]. China Water Resources, 2011(11):1. Chinese.
[10]
沈凤生 . 扎实推进后续工程规划设计和前期工作 [J]. 中国水利 , 2021 11 : 7 .
Shen F S. Solid progress will be made in subsequent engineering planning and design and preliminary work [J]. China Water Resources, 2021(11):7. Chinese.
[11]
陶佳辉 , 卞锦宇 , 敖天其 , 等 . 南水北调东线调水区及受水区降水径流变化特征 [EBOL]. 2021-12-07 [ 2022-05-15 ]. https: kns.cnki.netkcmsdetaildetail.aspx?dbcode=CAPJdbname=CAP
Tao J H, Bian J X, Ao T Q, et al. Variation characteristics of precipitation and runoff in the water diversion and water-receiving area of the eastern route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project [EB/OL]. (2021-12-07)[2022-05-15]. Chinese.
[12]
汪易森 , 陈斌 . 南水北调东线一期工程山东段通水效益分析与认识 [J]. 中国水利 , 2022 9 : 4 ‒ 7 .
Wang Y S, Chen B. Benefit analysis of water supply in Shandong section of Phase-I of the Eastern Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project and understanding [J]. China Water Resources, 2022 (9):4-7. Chinese.
[13]
赵勇 , 翟家齐 , 王庆明 , 等 . 京津冀水资源安全保障技术研发集成与示范应用 [R]. 北京 : 中国水利水电科学研究院 , 2021 .
Zhao Y, Zhai J Q, Wang Q M, et al. Research and development integration and demonstration application of water resources security technology in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei [R]. Beijing: China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, 2021. Chinese.
[14]
韩礼博 , 门宝辉 . 基于组合博弈论法的海河流域水资源承载力评价 [J]. 水电能源科学 , 2021 , 39 11 : 61 ‒ 64 .
Han L B, Men B H. Valuation of water resources carrying capacity in Haihe River Basin based on combinatorial game theory [J]. Water Resources and Power, 2021, 39(11): 61-64. Chinese.
[15]
吴康 , 王曼 . 主体功能区视角下京津冀国土空间的增长与收缩格局分析 [J]. 城市与区域规划研究 , 2020 , 12 2 : 183 ‒ 199 .
Wu K, Wang M. An analysis of spatial pattern of the growing and shrinking areas in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region from the perspective of major function-oriented zones [J]. Journal of Urban and Regional Planning, 2020, 12(2):183-199. Chinese.
[16]
赵勇 , 王庆明 , 何凡 , 等 . 海河流域水治理战略研究 [R]. 北京 : 中国水利水电科学研究院 , 2021 .
Zhao Y, Wang Q M, He F, et al. Study on water control strategy in Haihe River Basin [R]. Beijing: China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, 2021. Chinese.
[17]
姜蓓蕾 , 耿雷华 , 吕良华 , 等 . 雄安新区用水变化分析及需水管理对策 [J]. 中国水利 , 2021 15 : 29 ‒ 31 .
Jiang B L, Geng L H, Lyu L H, et al. Water usage analysis and water demand management measures in the Xiong’an New Area [J]. China Water Resources, 2021(15):29-31. Chinese.
[18]
王秦 , 张艳 , 杨永芳 . 雄安新区资源环境承载力评价指标体系研究 [J]. 环境科学与技术 , 2020 , 43 5 : 203 ‒ 212 .
Wang Q, Zhang Y, Yang Y F. Research of evaluation index system of resources and environment carrying capacity in Xiong’an New Area [J]. Environmental Science & Technology, 2020, 43(5):203-212. Chinese.
[19]
龚道孝 , 莫罹 , 刘曦 , 等 . " 四水统筹、人水和谐"的雄安新区城市水系统建设标准研究 [J]. 给水排水 , 2021 , 47 11 : 62 ‒ 69 .
Gong D X, Mo L, Liu X, et al. Urban water system from conception, methods to planning practice [J]. Water & Wastewater Engineering, 2021, 47(11):62-69. Chinese.
[20]
王富强 , 马尚钰 , 赵衡 , 等 . 基于AHP和熵权法组合权重的京津冀地区水循环健康模糊综合评价 [J]. 南水北调与水利科技 , 2021 , 19 1 : 67 ‒ 74 .
Wang F Q, Ma S Y, Zhao H, et al. A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of water cycle health in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region based on combined weights of AHP and entropy method [J]. South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology, 2021, 19(1):67-74. Chinese.
[21]
秦长海 , 赵勇 , 李海红 , 等 . 区域节水潜力评估 [J]. 南水北调与水利科技 , 2021 , 19 1 : 36 ‒ 42 .
Qin C H, Zhao Y, LI H H, et al. Assessment of regional water saving potential [J]. South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology, 2021, 19(1):36-42. Chinese.
[22]
李传哲 , 崔英杰 , 叶许春 , 等 . 白洋淀流域水资源演变特征与水安全保障对策 [J]. 中国水利 , 2021 15 : 36 ‒ 39 .
Li C Z, Cui Y J, Ye X C. Water resources change characteristics and water security safeguard strategy in the Baiyangdian Basin [J]. China Water Resources, 2021(15):36-39. Chinese.
[23]
杨薇 , 孙立鑫 , 王烜 , 等 . 生态补水驱动下白洋淀生态系统服务演变趋势 [J]. 农业环境科学学报 , 2020 , 39 5 : 1077 ‒ 1084 .
Yang W, Sun L X, Wang X, et al. Changes in ecosystem services in Baiyangdian Lake driven by environmental flow releases [J]. Journal of Agro-Environmetn Science, 2020, 39(5):1077-1084. Chinese.
[24]
杨薇 , 赵彦伟 , 刘强 , 等 . 白洋淀生态需水: 进展及展望 [J ]. 湖泊科学, 2020 , 32 2:294‒308.
Yang W, Zhao Y W, Liu Q, et al. A systematic literature review and perspective on water-demand for ecology of Lake Baiyangdian [J]. Journal of Lake Sciences, 2020, 32(2):294-308. Chinese.