改进的疏散时间计算模型在奥运赛场中的应用
南开大学城市公共安全研究中心 , 天津 300071
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摘要
基于人群流动理论和离散计算方法对传统疏散时间计算公式进行了改进,并提出了疏散离散时间计 算模型(EDTM)。运用此改进模型对天津奥林匹克中心体育场某看台出口人群疏散时间计算,并与 BuildingEXODUS计算机模拟、传统公式计算结果对比分析表明,此改进模型计算结果与计算机模拟结果非常接 近,且比传统疏散时间计算公式更为精确和符合实际情况,可代替传统疏散时间计算公式用于体育赛场尤其是 北京奥运赛场人群疏散时间计算及进行赛场性能化设计的依据。
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