施工导流工程风险的保险费用厘定方法研究
武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉 430072
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摘要
在分析导流工程风险因素、综合风险率和工程保险期限的基础上,研究导流工程失效后淹没基坑造成损失的次数及其分布规律,提出导流系统失效后的总损失服从非齐次复合Poisson过程,建立基于导流工程保险损失的聚合风险模型,给出施工导流工程保险费用的厘定方法及其数学表达,为水利水电工程保险费的厘定提供理论方法。
关键词
导流风险 ; 工程保险 ; 保险费 ; 非齐次复合Poisson过程
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