2017, Volume 19, Issue 1
Strategic Study of CAE >> 2017, Volume 19, Issue 1 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.014
Technology Foresight Research on China’s Medical and Population Health Engineering Science and Technology to 2035
1. Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150081, China;
2. Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang 050017, China;
3. Peking University, Beijing 100191, China;
4. Chinese Academy of Engineering, Beijing 100088, China;
5. Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China
Next Previous
Abstract
Key technology foresight in the fields of medical and population health is very important to China's population health, economy, and social development. Such foresight permits technological development trends in medical and population health to be grasped, thereby meeting major national strategic demands. In this paper, a list of alternative technologies is put forward on the basis of technology foresight, bibliometrics, and patent analysis (both domestic and international). A Delphi investigation of the list was carried out among experts in the fields of medical technology and medical industry all over the country. A total of 10 major key technologies, 10 major common technologies, and 10 major disruptive technologies were put forward, by analyzing the results of the Delphi investigation in combination with the experts’ judgment. The realization time, development level, and limiting factors of these major technologies were also analyzed. The results of this study provide a scientific basis for the raising of major projects in the fields of medical and population health.
Keywords
medical health ; population health ; 2035 ; Delphi method ; technology foresight
Figures
Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
References
[ 1 ] Zhang C W, Lin B, Yang G. The situation and countermeasures of aging in the period of the 13th Five-Year Plan [M]. Beijing: Social Sciences Academic Press, 2016. Chinese.
[ 2 ] National Health and Family Planning Commission of the People’s Republic of China. Report on the nutrition and chronic diseases in Chinese residents in 2015 [M]. Beijing: People’s Medical Publish-ing House, 2015. Chinese.
[ 3 ] Yan Y C, Zhou D, Zhu Q X. Construction and management of digital hospital [M]. Hefei: Anhui Science and Technology Press, 2010. Chinese. link1
[ 4 ] Chen G. Wearable medical treatment [M]. Beijing: Publishing House of Electronics Industry, 2015. Chinese.
[ 5 ] Li L. Health big data, a revolution in healthy behavior [M]. Bei-jing: People’s Medical Publishing House, 2015. Chinese.
[ 6 ] Pei X T. Theory and technology of regenerative medicine [M]. Beijing: China Science Publishing & Media Ltd (CSPM), 2010.
[ 7 ] Wang T H, Pan X H, Li L Y. Theory and technology of stem cell [M]. Beijing: China Science Publishing & Media Ltd (CSPM), 2013. Chinese.
[ 8 ] Shen X Q. Study on the legislation of human genome science and technology [M]. Jinan: Shandong University Press, 2015. Chinese. link1
京公网安备 11010502051620号
