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Strategic Study of CAE >> 2017, Volume 19, Issue 1 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.018

Technology Hot Spots and Frontier Identification Support to 2035: The Technology List Adjustment Method, Using Robot Technology as an Example

1. National Numerical Control Systems Engineering Research Center, Wuhan 430074, China;

2. School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

3. College of Life Science & Technology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China

Funding project:中国工程院咨询项目“中国工程科技2035发展战略研究”(2015-ZD-14);中国工程科技知识中心建设项目(CKCEST-2015-4-2);国家自然科学基金项目(91646102,L16240452,L1524015,71203117);教育部人文社会科学项目(16JDGC011);清华大学绿色经济与可持续发展研究中心研究子项目(20153000181) Received: 2016-12-12 Revised: 2016-12-26 Available online: 2017-02-23 09:42:53.000

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Abstract

This paper focuses on technology hot spots, frontier identification, and trend analysis of high-tech foresight, and puts forward a more complete analysis method based on previous studies. In this paper, we take robot technology as an example in order to identify hot spots and frontiers in technology, along with their development trends. These findings have great significance for the proposal of a technology list and for the allocation of the technology industry in the Research on China’s Engineering Science and Technology Development Strategy 2035.

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