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Strategic Study of CAE >> 2018, Volume 20, Issue 5 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.05.018

Analysis and Prediction of the Supply and Demand of China’s Major Agricultural Products

Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China

Funding project:CAE Advisory Project “Research on Key Strategic Issues of Agricultural Resource and Environment in China” (2016-ZD-10) Received: 2018-08-23 Revised: 2018-08-30 Available online: 2018-11-30

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Abstract

Food security has always been a major strategic issue related to national economic development, social stability, and national independence. Clarifying the degree of food security and scientifically estimating the future national food demand are the basic work for formulating food security policies. In 2015, the supply and demand of rice and wheat were basically balanced, corn supply exceeded demand, and soybean was heavily dependent on imports; cotton, oil, and sugar had great dependence on foreign products, of which the self-sufficiency rate of edible vegetable oil was only 36.9%, cotton 87.7%, and sugar 74.4%; supply and demand of livestock products were basically balanced, and milk needs variety regulation. 

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