Strategic Study of CAE >> 2004, Volume 6, Issue 8
Building Fire Direct Loss Evaluation Based on Fire Dynamics and Probability Statistics Theory
State Key Laboratory of Fire Science, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
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Abstract
Based on fire growth probability and burned area, the method for evaluating burned area in building fire is presented in this paper. According to fire dynamics and different characteristics in fire growth process, the process is divided into four phases. By means of probability theory and event tree analysis, fire growth probability and critical time of every phase are calculated. Average burned area of building can be evaluated.
Keywords
building fire ; fire risk evaluation ; event tree ; probability ; burned area
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