2012, Volume 14, Issue 9
Strategic Study of CAE >> 2012, Volume 14, Issue 9
The status and suggestions of the improvement in the typhoon observation, forecasting and warning systems in China
1. National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, China；
2. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
Next Previous
Abstract
In the background of global warming, high impact tropical cyclone events occurred frequently and disasters got severer all over the world. In China, severe weather represented by landfalling typhoons is growing apparently. The landfalling typhoons tend to be more intense, and the number of severe landfalling typhoons is evidently increaseing. More landfalls are concentrated in a relatively short time, resulting in a significant decrease in the period of landfall activity. In this study, the characteristics of the typhoon induced disasters in China are analyzed; the status and problems of typhoon observations, forecasting and warning systems are discussed. Suggestions and measures of the improvement in the typhoon observation, forecasting and warning systems during the period of rapid development of social economy in China are proposed as well.
References
[ 1 ] 国家气候中心，全国气候影响评价[M].北京：气象出版社，1998-2010.
[ 2 ] Axel Graumann，Tamara Houston，Jay Lawrimore，et al.Humi-cane Katrina-a clim atolog ical perspective，NCDC/NOAA tec hni cal report 200501「EB/OL].http://www.nedc.noaa.gov/oa/re port s/tech-eport-200501 z.pdf.
[ 3 ] UNDP Myanmar.Cyclone Nargis respone[EB/OL].http://www.mm.undp.org/newsand pressreleases/UNDP cyelone response.pdf.
[ 4 ] 雷小途，全球气候变化对台风影响的主要评估结论和问题[J].中国科学基金，2011（2）：85-89. link1
[ 5 ] 张志彤，刘玉忠，许 静，我国台风防御工作进展与对策[C]//庆祝中国水利水电科学研究院组建五十周年-水利水电百家论坛论文集.北京：中国水利水电出版社，2008.
[ 6 ] 许 静，着眼长远夯实基础全面提升我国台风灾害综合防御能力[J].中国防汛抗旱，2011，21（3）：12-15. link1
[ 7 ] 许映龙，张 玲，高拴柱，我国台风业务预报的进展及思考[J].气象，2010，36（7）：43-49.
[ 8 ] Japan Met eorolo gical Agency.Amual report on acti vities of the RSMC Tokyo-Typhoon Center（2006-2010）[EB/OL].http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jmatenter/smchppub-eg/annu-alreport.html.
[ 9 ] Joint Typhoon Waming Center of USA.Annual t ropical cyclone re-ports（2006-2010）「EB/OL].http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/annual-tro picalt yclone-teports.
[10] 香山科学会议学术讨论会第275次学术讨论会筹备组.登陆台风的科学问题及防灾减灾对策[R].上海：中国气象局上海台风研究所，2006.
京公网安备 11010502051620号
