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A rain-on-snow mixed flood forecast model and its application
Jian WU, Lan LI,
Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2009, Volume 3, Issue 4, Pages 440-444 doi: 10.1007/s11709-009-0051-0
Keywords： Xinjiang Autonomous forecasting hydrology temperature rain-on-snow runoff-generation
Forecast method for used number of parts and components based on complex network
LIU Fu-yun, QI Guo-ning, YANG Qing-hai
Frontiers of Mechanical Engineering 2006, Volume 1, Issue 4, Pages 479-484 doi: 10.1007/s11465-006-0064-5
Keywords： complex network industrial component analytic expression forecast
Real-time Forecast of Irrigation
Mao Zhi,Li Yuanhua,Li Huichang
Strategic Study of CAE 2002, Volume 4, Issue 5, Pages 24-33
The real-time forecast of irrigation is one of the essential part of the work for compiling a dynamicThe real-time forecast of water requirements of crops is the essential and difficult part in the real-timeThe methods and models for the conventional forecast of crop water requirement ,applied both in ChinaThey can not used for the real-time forecast.including the real-time forecast of the date and quota of irrigation for both dry food crops fields
Keywords： irrigation real-time forecast evapotranspiration irrigation schedule
Forecast Study on Medium and Long Term Energy Demand in Rural Area of China
Deng Keyun,He Liang
Strategic Study of CAE 2000, Volume 2, Issue 7, Pages 16-21
Rural energy forecast belongs to the category of regional energy forecast.To forecast the demand of energy consumption in rural area of China will be useful for drawing out the
Keywords： rural energy demand forecast
Junbao JIA,Jincheng XING,Jihong LING,Ren PENG
Frontiers in Energy 2016, Volume 10, Issue 4, Pages 459-465 doi: 10.1007/s11708-016-0424-8
Keywords： commercial building load prediction multiple linear regression
Study of Forecast of Building Cost Based on Neural Network
Nie Guihua,Liu Pingfeng,He Liu
Strategic Study of CAE 2005, Volume 7, Issue 10, Pages 56-59
Keywords： BP neural network building budget forecast
A systems view of the earthquake forecast
Li Shihui
Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 132-137
The focal point of this paper is to use the principle and method of systems sciences to prove that the standpoint of the mainstream earthquake scientists is unscientific and unreasonable, namely, the earthquake can't be forecasted essentially, and to prove the opposed standpoint is scientific and reasonable, namely, roughly estimate the range of time and location of the strong shock to a certain degree, and lead masses to know beforehand. To have limited space, this paper further proves the conclusion with only 2 examples only.
Keywords： earthquake forecast earthquake prediction complexity systems sciences complement each other of Chinese
Forecast of fire accidents based on Grey-Markov model
Mao Zhanli,ZhuYi,Yang Bozhong,ZhuLei
Strategic Study of CAE 2010, Volume 12, Issue 1, Pages 98-101
Keywords： Grey model Markov model fire accidents forecast
The exploration of global tight sandstone gas and forecast of the development tendency in China
Yang Tao,Zhang Guosheng,Liang Kun,Zheng Min,Guo Bincheng
Strategic Study of CAE 2012, Volume 14, Issue 6, Pages 64-68
The tight sand gas is becoming one of the most important domains in unconventional natural gas exploration & development in the world. Especially the large-scale exploration and utilization of American tight sandstone gas promotes the exploration & development in other countries.Based on a brief overview of global tight sandstone gas exploration & development，the paper carries out a systematic study on the exploration history, the exploration effect as well as the development tendency and proposals of China's tight sandstone gas. The result shows that the development process of China's tight gas development can be divided into three stages and is entering the fast-developing stage recently.In recent years, several large tight sandstone gas reservoirs are discovered in upper Palaeozoic of Ordos Basin, Xujiahe Formation of Sichuan Basin and deep formations of Kuqa, Tarim Basin. The reserve and production of tight sand gas have both experienced rapid growth. The production accounts for 1/5 of China's total nature gas production in 2011, and it is predicted to reach 1/3 in 2020, and at that time the tight sandstone gas would become the key role in natural gas industry.
Keywords： tight sandstone gas exploration and development development trend production forecast
Chen Zhijian,Zhou Shizhong ,Zhuo Jiashou
Strategic Study of CAE 2002, Volume 4, Issue 6, Pages 20-24
Keywords： layered rock mass slope monitoring and forecast model technical methods
Aimin Liu, Panna Jia, Lixin Wang, Liangjie Wu
Strategic Study of CAE 2018, Volume 20, Issue 5, Pages 39-44 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.05.006
With improvement of the living standards, the domestic consumption and production of livestock products such as meat, poultry, eggs, and milk keep increasing, and thus the domestic demand for forage is raised. Based on the analysis of changes in the supply and demand of forage materials in China and the changes in the future demand for domestic livestock and poultry products, the future demand of forage materials is forecasted. The research results show that the gap of supply and demand of forage materials in China will continue expanding in the future, and for the safety of domestic forage supply, cultivation of silage corns should be appropriately expanded and the grass industry in agricultural areas should be developed. Additionally, agricultural resources should be fully and rationally utilized, and the cultivation of crops such as soybeans and rapeseeds should be appropriately expanded to improve the effective supply of domestic meals. Meanwhile, China should make full and reasonable use of overseas agricultural resources to ensure the safe supply of domestic forage materials.
Keywords： forage materials supply and demand forecast countermeasures
Multi-discipline Forecast and Warning Engineering System on Sediment-related Disasters
Yao Xuexiang,Xu Jing
Strategic Study of CAE 2004, Volume 6, Issue 6, Pages 9-14
Keywords： sediment-related disasters debris flow landslide engineering system for forecast and warning
Analysis and Forecast of China’s Total Economy and Its Structure from 2016–2035
Li Ping,Lou Feng and Wang Hongwei
Strategic Study of CAE 2017, Volume 19, Issue 1, Pages 13-20 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.003
Keywords： economic forecast economic growth structural analysis computable general equilibrium
Improved R /S Method and Analysis and Forecast to China Fire Data
Fu Yuhua,Fu Anjie
Strategic Study of CAE 2004, Volume 6, Issue 5, Pages 39-44
This paper discusses some improvements for the R/S analysis method (rescaled range analysis) in engineering and economics and their application. For the analysis of total fire number in China, two new data grouping methods for calculating the Hurst exponent H are presented. The difference of Hurst exponent AH is introduced to judge the possibility whether or not the next year's fire number will be increased suddenly. For the R/S analysis of the calculated Hurst exponents, a new group of Hurst exponent H1,i. e. , Hurst exponent of Hurst exponent, and related △H1, can be reached, the rest high order Hurst exponent and related difference H2, △H2, H3, △H3 and the like may be deduced by analogy. According to the fire numbers from 1950〜1999, the fire number of year 2000 is forecasted with R/S method.
Keywords： R/S analysis rescaled range analysis high order Hurst exponent total fire number of whole country forecast
RBF-ANN-Based forecast method of transmutation of wall rock on multi-arch tunne
Xiao Zhiwang,Zhong Denghua
Strategic Study of CAE 2008, Volume 10, Issue 7, Pages 77-81
Keywords： multi-arch tunnel deformation of wall rock deformation forecast radial basis function (RBF) artificial
Title Author Date Type Operation
Forecast method for used number of parts and components based on complex network
LIU Fu-yun, QI Guo-ning, YANG Qing-hai
Journal Article
Forecast Study on Medium and Long Term Energy Demand in Rural Area of China
Deng Keyun,He Liang
Journal Article
A method to predict cooling load of large commercial buildings based on weather forecast and internal
Junbao JIA,Jincheng XING,Jihong LING,Ren PENG
Journal Article
Study of Forecast of Building Cost Based on Neural Network
Nie Guihua,Liu Pingfeng,He Liu
Journal Article
Forecast of fire accidents based on Grey-Markov model
Mao Zhanli,ZhuYi,Yang Bozhong,ZhuLei
Journal Article
The exploration of global tight sandstone gas and forecast of the development tendency in China
Yang Tao,Zhang Guosheng,Liang Kun,Zheng Min,Guo Bincheng
Journal Article
Technical Methods to Make Safety Monitoring and Forecast Models for the Foundation of Long Suspension
Chen Zhijian,Zhou Shizhong ,Zhuo Jiashou
Journal Article
Supply and Demand Analysis, Future Demand Forecast, and Countermeasure Studies for Forage Materials in
Aimin Liu, Panna Jia, Lixin Wang, Liangjie Wu
Journal Article
Multi-discipline Forecast and Warning Engineering System on Sediment-related Disasters
Yao Xuexiang,Xu Jing
Journal Article
Analysis and Forecast of China’s Total Economy and Its Structure from 2016–2035
Li Ping,Lou Feng and Wang Hongwei
Journal Article
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