Reliability of Emergent Intelligence in Unmanned Swarms: Technical Challenges and Future Development

Yue Zhang , Yi Ren , Yuxin Qi , Ruifeng Xiang , Chenyou Wan , Dezhen Yang , Zili Wang

Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2026, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (4) : 152 -169.

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Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2026, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (4) :152 -169. DOI: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2025.12.012
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Reliability of Emergent Intelligence in Unmanned Swarms: Technical Challenges and Future Development
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Abstract

As a core frontier of next-generation artificial intelligence, emergent intelligence in unmanned swarms achieves efficient collaboration and intelligent enhancement through biomimetic self-organization and local interactions, demonstrating significant potentials in both military and civilian domains. However, the reliability issues arising from emergence remain a critical bottleneck limiting its operational effectiveness. Guided by the practical need for unmanned swarm systems to evolve from functional realization to reliable emergence, this study analyzes their cross-layer coupling characteristics. Considering multiple constraints in complex dynamic environments, it outlines the emergent reliability issues and technical challenges across communication, perception, and behavioral layers. Based on a three-layer analytical framework of "information communication‒perceptual interaction‒swarm behavior", this study constructs a research system for the reliability of emergent intelligence. Furthermore, it progressively advances from exploring intrinsic mechanisms and evaluating emergence metrics to analyzing system reliability, proposing a new paradigm of reliability systems engineering for emergent intelligence, characterized by "theoretical modeling‒mechanism design‒evaluation and verification". This provides systematic theoretical, technical support and engineering solution references for the large-scale, reliable application of intelligent unmanned swarms in complex mission scenarios.

Keywords

unmanned swarm / emergent intelligence / intelligent swarm / reliability systems engineering / swarm mission

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Yue Zhang, Yi Ren, Yuxin Qi, Ruifeng Xiang, Chenyou Wan, Dezhen Yang, Zili Wang. Reliability of Emergent Intelligence in Unmanned Swarms: Technical Challenges and Future Development. Strategic Study of CAE, 2026, 28 (4) : 152-169 DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2025.12.012

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Funding

Chinese Academy of Engineering project “Research on Electromagnetic Security in the Context of Low-Altitude Economy”(2025-JZ-11)

The National Natural Science Foundation of China Projects(72601001)

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