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2012年 第6卷 第2期

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《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 >> 2012年 第6卷 第2期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-011-0382-7

Determination of the principal factors of river water quality through cluster analysis method and its prediction

State Key Laboratory of Urban Water Resource and Environment, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150090, China

发布日期： 2012-04-01
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In this paper, an artificial neural network model was built to predict the Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD ) measured by permanganate index in Songhua River. To enhance the prediction accuracy, principal factors were determined through the analysis of the weight relation between influencing factors and forecasting object using cluster analysis method, which optimized the topological structure of the prediction model input items of the artificial neural network. It was shown that application of the principal factors in water quality prediction model can improve its forecasting skill significantly through the comparison between results of prediction by artificial neural network and the measurements of the COD . This methodology is also applicable to various water quality prediction targets of other water bodies and it is valuable for theoretical study and practical application.

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