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《中国工程科学》 >> 2019年 第21卷 第6期 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2019.06.015

海洋维权的博弈问题

1. 中国科学院声学研究所,北京 100190;

2. 北京联合大学商务学院,北京 100025;

3. 中国舰船研究设计中心,武汉 430064

资助项目 :中国工程院咨询项目“海洋强国战略研究2035” (2018-ZD-08) 收稿日期: 2019-06-21 修回日期: 2019-11-18 发布日期: 2020-01-20

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摘要

本文以博弈论观点探讨海洋维权问题,包括海洋维权在处理海洋争端中的作用和地位,我国海洋维权博弈的性质、方向及博弈要素。当前阶段,推动海洋维权博弈微观化、事务性处理,从维权斗争向联合管治方向发展符合我国的国家利益。将作为海洋维权“斗争前线”的海上维权区分为“争议海区进入”“渔船越界维权”“非合作渔业博弈模型”3类基本博弈过程,分别开展博弈分析,据此研判我国海上维权力量建设的重点方向。研究表明:提高海洋产业科技水平、发展维权技术手段可以有效改变博弈收益,从而实现有利的博弈均衡;发展高技术干扰手段、水下防护技术、海洋广域监视技术和远海渔业开发技术,是在重复博弈过程中获得优势地位的重要保障。

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