一种基于领域信息的可解释实时混合地震早期预警系统——用于预测地面震动强度

Jawad Fayaz , Rodrigo Astroza , Sergio Ruiz

Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (6) : 190 -204.

PDF
Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (6) : 190 -204. DOI: 10.1016/j.eng.2025.03.009
研究论文

一种基于领域信息的可解释实时混合地震早期预警系统——用于预测地面震动强度

作者信息 +

An Interpretable and Domain-Informed Real-Time Hybrid Earthquake Early Warning for Ground Shaking Intensity Prediction

Author information +
文章历史 +
PDF

Abstract

In the face of the unrelenting challenge posed by earthquakes—a natural hazard of unpredictable nature with a legacy of significant loss of life, destruction of infrastructure, and profound economic and social impacts—the scientific community has pursued advancements in earthquake early warning systems (EEWSs). These systems are vital for pre-emptive actions and decision-making that can save lives and safeguard critical infrastructure. This study proposes and validates a domain-informed deep learning-based EEWS called the hybrid earthquake early warning framework for estimating response spectra (HEWFERS), which represents a significant leap forward in the capabilities to predict ground shaking intensity in real-time, aligning with the United Nations’ disaster risk reduction goals. HEWFERS ingeniously integrates a domain-informed variational autoencoder for physics-based latent variable (LV) extraction, a feed-forward neural network for on-site prediction, and Gaussian process regression for spatial prediction. Adopting explainable artificial intelligence-based Shapley explanations further elucidates the predictive mechanisms, ensuring stakeholder-informed decisions. By conducting an extensive analysis of the proposed framework under a large database of approximately 14 000 recorded ground motions, this study offers insights into the potential of integrating machine learning with seismology to revolutionize earthquake preparedness and response, thus paving the way for a safer and more resilient future.

关键词

Key words

Domain-informed neural networks / Physics-informed neural networks / Earthquake early warning / Variational autoencoder / Bayesian updating / Spatial regression / Interpretable artificial intelligence

引用本文

引用格式 ▾
Jawad Fayaz, Rodrigo Astroza, Sergio Ruiz 一种基于领域信息的可解释实时混合地震早期预警系统——用于预测地面震动强度[J]. 工程(英文), 2025, 49(6): 190-204 DOI:10.1016/j.eng.2025.03.009

登录浏览全文

4963

注册一个新账户 忘记密码

参考文献

AI Summary AI Mindmap
PDF

515

访问

0

被引

详细

导航
相关文章

AI思维导图

/