我国区域能源现状及中长期发展战略重点研究
Energy Development Status and Developing Focus of Varied Regions in China
我国幅员辽阔,各区域能源资源禀赋特点差异显著,因地制宜推进区域能源革命是破解我国能源发展瓶颈的有效途径。本文针对京津冀、长江三角洲(长三角)、珠江三角洲(珠三角)、老工业基地、中部地区、能源富集地区、西南地区七大区域,从能源生产、消费、流向等方面分析了各区域的能源发展现状,梳理了各区域的能源消费强度差异和能耗增长驱动力情况,研判了各区域面向2035 年的中长期能源转型发展趋势及战略重点。研究表明,各区域能源革命的战略布局重点分别是:京津冀地区为推进能源与经济、环境的协同发展,长三角地区为集成优化区域联动的能源系统,珠三角地区为构建清洁能源产储运基地,老工业基地为以能源高值化、多元化推进经济转型,中部地区为打造综合能源枢纽,能源富集区为建成绿色可持续的能源安全保障基地,西南地区为清洁能源消纳。为统筹各区域能源发展,本文从因地制宜、精准推进能源革命,以区域能源革命推动区域社会发展和生态环境保护,以推动区域协调发展为抓手,实现区域能源协作与合作共赢等方面提出了对策建议。
China has a vast territory, so the energy resource endowments of different regions in the country are significantly varied. Promoting regional energy revolution based on local conditions is an effective way to break the bottlenecks that restrict China’s energy development. This study analyzes the current situation of energy development from the aspects of energy production, consumption, and distribution, and investigates the differences regarding energy consumption intensity and the driving force for energy consumption growth in the core regions (i.e., the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region, Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, old industrial bases, the Central China, energy-rich areas, and Southwest China). The medium- and long-term energy development trends and strategic focuses of these regions by 2035 are analyzed. Specifically, the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region should focus on the coordinated development of energy, economy, and environment; an energy system with regional linkage should be formed and optimized in the Yangtze River Delta; the Pearl River Delta can strive to build itself as a clean energy production, storage, and transportation base; economic transformation should be promoted in the old industrial bases through value increment and diversification of energy resources; Central China should establish itself as an integrated energy hub; the energy-rich areas should build itself as a green and sustainable energy security base; and clean energy consumption should be encouraged in Southwest China. To coordinate energy development in various regions, China should fully consider the significant differences in local conditions, promote social development and ecologicalprotection with the regional energy revolution, and encourage regional cooperation in energy.
区域能源发展 / 能源强度 / 能源转型 / LMDI / regional energy development / energy intensity / energy transition / logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI)
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