北斗卫星导航系统全球服务的风险分析和应对策略

杨军

中国工程科学 ›› 2023, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2) : 13 -21.

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中国工程科学 ›› 2023, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2) : 13 -21. DOI: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2023.02.002
北斗规模应用国际化发展战略研究

北斗卫星导航系统全球服务的风险分析和应对策略

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Glogbal Services of BeiDou Navigation Satellite System: Risk Analysis and Countermeasures

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摘要

北斗卫星导航系统(北斗系统)开通全球服务后,北斗规模应用进入市场化、产业化、国际化发展的新阶段,加强北斗系统全球服务风险及应对研究,是支撑国家战略、推动北斗系统国际化发展的内在要求,也是应对国际竞争、助力北斗系统行稳致远的必然选择。本文从卫星导航国际发展形势、北斗系统全球服务发展特征的角度入手,分析研判了北斗系统全球服务的风险现状与发展态势;梳理总结了北斗系统全球服务面临的5种风险类型,包括国家风险、战略风险、市场风险、安全风险、法律风险,细致分析了相应的风险成因。针对北斗系统全球服务面临的风险,提出了应对策略:加强北斗系统全球服务风险应对的顶层谋划,建立要素齐全的北斗系统全球服务风险应对制度体系,提升北斗系统全球服务相关主体的风险应对能力,筑牢北斗系统全球风险应对工作基础。

Abstract

After the BeiDou navigation satellite system (BDS) global services were formally commissioned, the large-scale applications of BDS have entered a new stage of marketization, industrialization, and internationalization. Strengthening research on risk analysis and response of BDS global services is not only an inherent requirement for supporting national strategies and promoting international development of BDS, but also an inevitable choice to cope with international competition and achieve stable and long-term development of BDS. This study summarizes and analyzes the current risks and development trend of BDS global services from the perspectives of international development trends of satellite navigation and development characteristics of BDS global services. Moreover, it summarizes the risks faced by BDS global services: national, strategic, market, security, and legal risks, and analyzes corresponding causes of the risks. In view of these risks, the following countermeasures are proposed: strengthening the top-level planning of risk response, establishing a response system considering all factors, improving risk response capabilities of BDS global service related entities, and consolidating a solid foundation for risk response.

关键词

北斗系统 / 全球服务 / 风险分析 / 风险应对

Key words

北斗系统 / 全球服务 / 风险分析 / 风险应对 / BeiDou navigation satellite system / global services / risk analysis / risk response

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杨军 北斗卫星导航系统全球服务的风险分析和应对策略[J]. 中国工程科学, 2023, 25(2): 13-21 DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2023.02.002

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中国工程院咨询项目“国家时空信息安全战略研究”(2022-XY-131)

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