从战略的高度，以现代物流、河口海岸、环境生态、经济管理和数理统计等多学科的视角，进行前瞻性的思考，提出一种解决土地资源紧缺和合理使用土地资源的方案——以围海造地拓展上海城市发展新空间；以建设深水新港优化土地使用并稳固上海的国际航运中心地位，试图为上海新一轮发展的前期准备和决策提供支撑

From a strategic perspective, the paper presents a forward-looking thinking supported by interdisciplinary of modern logistics, estuary and coasty, environment and ecology, economic management, and mathematical statistics. It leads to a reasonable solution to space expansion by reclamation. Construction of new deep-water terminal is the best usage of land resources and can strengthen the status of Shanghai City as an international shipping center, thus supporting the preparation and strategic decision of future urban development of Shanghai City.

包起帆（1951—），男，上海市人，教授级高级工程师，主要从事现代物流技术与装备方面的研究