利用盐岩洞穴进行能源地下储备是我国能源储备的重点战略部署方向。我国盐岩地层埋深浅，呈层状分布，且夹层较多，地质条件相对复杂，增加储库灾变的可能性，因此建立一套盐岩能源地下储备库群风险综合评价和管理体系尤显重要。根据盐岩地下储库群灾变事故的统计结果，获取了盐岩地下储库的主要风险因子，对库群风险进行了辨识。建立了盐岩地下库群风险评价方法和风险分级标准，通过数值模拟方法对失效概率进行了核算，评价了金坛盐岩库群风险等级，并通过模型试验对结果进行了验证，开发了基于计算机网络技术的盐岩地下库群风险信息管理与评估系统，建立了盐岩能源地下储备库群风险综合评价和管理体系。

The underground energy storage utilizing salt rock caverns is the national key strategic development of energy reserves. Salt mines in China are characterized as shallow burial, stratified distribution and multiple interlayers, that increasing the possibility of storage disasters. Therefore, establishing a synthetic evaluation system for the risk of underground salt rock energy storage is of a great necessity. Based on the statistical analysis of salt rock underground storage risk events, the main risk factors have been attained and the risk of underground storage has been identified. Accordingly, the underground storage risk assessment method and criterion have been set, the risk probability is calculated by the numerical simulation to assess the risk level of Jintan salt rock storage, and a model test has been conducted to verify the result, Underground Salt Rock Gas Storage Risk Information Management and Assessment has been developed via computer network technology, and salt rock underground energy storage risk integrated assessment and management system has been established.

张宁（1986—），男，山东济南市人，博士，主要研究方向为盐岩储库风险评估