结合我国能源资源储量、禀赋特点和能源发展相关政策，对我国中长期发电供应能力进行了全面的分析，包括燃煤发电、水电、核能发电、风力发电、太阳能发电、生物质能发电和天然气发电的供应能力。在此基础上，以社会总体成本最小为原则，对我国中长期电源结构调整进行了研究，同时研判了我国中长期电源发展布局。

Considering energy resource reserves in China and relevant energy development policies, this paper comprehensively analyzed China's mid-long term power supply capacity, including supply capacities of coal-fired power, hydropower, nuclear power, wind power, solar power, biomass power and gas power. Based on this, with the objective of minimizing the total cost to society, it also optimized the mid-long term generation mix in China, and proposed the mid-long term generation arrangement.

白建华（ 1963— ） ，男，河北石家庄市人，博士，高级工程师，长期从事能源战略与规划、电力发展规划、新能源发展规划、能源与电力环保、能源与电力技术经济等研究