汶川地震前的预测回顾
Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake
依据太阳活动与30°纬带上的洪震链指标，曾先后于2006 年9 月及2007 年底做出了将于2007 年或2008 年在天水至康定地段和康定地区可能发生6 ～7 级或7 级以上地震的预测。
According to the index of solar activity we predicted in 2006 that during 2007 ~2008 an earthquake M >7 will possibly occur in segment between Tianshui and Kangding.Based on the flood-earthquake chain along the latitude circle of 30°,we predicted in the end of 2007 that an earthquake M6 ~7 will possibly occur in Kangding region in 2008.
earthquake prediction / valley of solar activity / flood-earthquake chain
郭增建（1931－），男，陕西商洛市人，研究员，研究方向为地震预报和灾害物理
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |
PDF
(644KB)
