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Modeling, simulation, and prediction of global energy indices: a differential approach

Stephen Ndubuisi NNAMCHI, Onyinyechi Adanma NNAMCHI, Janice Desire BUSINGYE, Maxwell Azubuike IJOMAH, Philip Ikechi OBASI

《能源前沿（英文）》 2022年第16卷第2期页码 375-392 doi: 10.1007/s11708-021-0723-6

摘要： Modeling, simulation, and prediction of global energy indices remain veritable tools for econometric, engineering, analysis, and prediction of energy indices. Thus, this paper differentially modeled, simulated, and non-differentially predicated the global energy indices. The state-of-the-art of the research includes normalization of energy indices, generation of differential rate terms, and regression of rate terms against energy indices to generate coefficients and unexplained terms. On imposition of initial conditions, the solution to the system of linear differential equations was realized in a Matlab environment. There was a strong agreement between the simulated and the field data. The exact solutions are ideal for interpolative prediction of historic data. Furthermore, the simulated data were upgraded for extrapolative prediction of energy indices by introducing an innovative model, which is the synergy of deflated and inflated prediction factors. The innovative model yielded a trendy prediction data for energy consumption, gross domestic product, carbon dioxide emission and human development index. However, the oil price was untrendy, which could be attributed to odd circumstances. Moreover, the sensitivity of the differential rate terms was instrumental in discovering the overwhelming effect of independent indices on the dependent index. Clearly, this paper has accomplished interpolative and extrapolative prediction of energy indices and equally recommends for further investigation of the untrendy nature of oil price.

关键词： energy indices differential model normalization simulation inflation/deflation predictive factor and prediction rate

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PID neural network control of a membrane structure inflation system

Qiushuang LIU, Xiaoli XU

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2010年第5卷第4期页码 418-422 doi: 10.1007/s11465-010-0117-7

摘要： Because it is difficult for the traditional PID algorithm for nonlinear time-variant control objects to obtain satisfactory control results, this paper studies a neuron PID controller. The neuron PID controller makes use of neuron self-learning ability, complies with certain optimum indicators, and automatically adjusts the parameters of the PID controller and makes them adapt to changes in the controlled object and the input reference signals. The PID controller is used to control a nonlinear time-variant membrane structure inflation system. Results show that the neural network PID controller can adapt to the changes in system structure parameters and fast track the changes in the input signal with high control precision.

关键词： PID neural network membrane structure