
A Distributionally Robust Optimization Method for Passenger Flow Control Strategy and Train Scheduling on an Urban Rail Transit Line
Yahan Lu, Lixing Yang, Kai Yang, Ziyou Gao, Housheng Zhou, Fanting Meng, Jianguo Qi
Engineering ›› 2022, Vol. 12 ›› Issue (5) : 202-220.
A Distributionally Robust Optimization Method for Passenger Flow Control Strategy and Train Scheduling on an Urban Rail Transit Line
Regular coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic prevention and control have raised new requirements that necessitate operation-strategy innovation in urban rail transit. To alleviate increasingly serious congestion and further reduce the risk of cross-infection, a novel two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model is explicitly constructed, in which the probability distribution of stochastic scenarios is only partially known in advance. In the proposed model, the mean-conditional value-atrisk (mean-CVaR) criterion is employed to obtain a tradeoff between the expected number of waiting passengers and the risk of congestion on an urban rail transit line. The relationship between the proposed distributionally robust model and the traditional two-stage stochastic programming (SP) model is also depicted. Furthermore, to overcome the obstacle of model solvability resulting from imprecise probability distributions, a discrepancy-based ambiguity set is used to transform the robust counterpart into its computationally tractable form. A hybrid algorithm that combines a local search algorithm with a mixedinteger linear programming (MILP) solver is developed to improve the computational efficiency of largescale instances. Finally, a series of numerical examples with real-world operation data are executed to validate the proposed approaches.
Passenger flow control / Train scheduling / Distributionally robust optimization / Stochastic and dynamic passenger demand / Ambiguity set
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