AI-Optimized Decision-Making in Energy Systems: Toward a Decision-Aware Machine Learning Framework

Guotao Wang , Zhenjia Lin , Yuntian Chen , Haoran Ji , Dayin Chen , Haoran Zhang , Peng Li , Jinyue Yan

Engineering ››

PDF (3733KB)
Engineering ›› DOI: 10.1016/j.eng.2025.06.037
review-article
AI-Optimized Decision-Making in Energy Systems: Toward a Decision-Aware Machine Learning Framework
Author information +
History +
PDF (3733KB)

Abstract

Machine learning (ML) and mathematical programming (MP) models are essential for predicting uncertain system parameters and optimizing decision-making in energy systems. However, incorporating the impact of prediction errors into ML models to inform MP models remains a significant challenge. To address this issue, we propose an artificial intelligence (AI)-native optimization (AIOpti) system that enables AI to be aware of the impact of predictions on decision-making through a deep fusion of ML and MP models. This AI-native deep fusion distinguishes AIOpti from existing research, as the latter separates accuracy-oriented learning from problem-oriented learning. When applied to scenarios such as virtual power plant operations and distributed energy management based on real-world data, AIOpti achieves lower computational costs, improved convergence, and robust performance in complex systems, enabling ML models to effectively account for the impact of prediction errors on MP models. Furthermore, our enhanced AIOpti system not only maximizes predictive accuracy but also improves decision-making quality.

Keywords

Energy system / Smart decision-making / Artificial intelligence / Predict-then-optimize

Cite this article

Download citation ▾
Guotao Wang, Zhenjia Lin, Yuntian Chen, Haoran Ji, Dayin Chen, Haoran Zhang, Peng Li, Jinyue Yan. AI-Optimized Decision-Making in Energy Systems: Toward a Decision-Aware Machine Learning Framework. Engineering DOI:10.1016/j.eng.2025.06.037

登录浏览全文

4963

注册一个新账户 忘记密码

References

[1]

Sepulveda NA, Jenkins JD, de FJSisternes, Lester RK.The role of firm low-carbon electricity resources in deep decarbonization of power generation.Joule 2018; 2(11):2403-2420.

[2]

Ricks W, Voller K, Galban G, Norbeck JH, Jenkins JD.The role of flexible geothermal power in decarbonized electricity systems.Nat Energy 2025; 10:25-40.

[3]

Huang S, Peng H, Huang X, Wei J, Wei C, Wu Q, et al.Decentralized dynamic system for optimal power dispatch in wind farms based on node-dependence nature.Commun Engi 2024; 3:112.

[4]

Guo J, Luo Y, Zou B, Peng J.Day-ahead nonlinear optimization scheduling for industrial park energy systems with hybrid energy storage.Engineering 2025; 46:331-347.

[5]

Kotzur L, Nolting L, Hoffmann M, Gro Tß, Smolenko A, Priesmann J, et al.A modeler’s guide to handle complexity in energy systems optimization.Adv Appl Energy 2021; 4:100063.

[6]

Hu J, Zhou H, Zhou Y, Zhang H, Nordströmd L, Yang G.Flexibility prediction of aggregated electric vehicles and domestic hot water systems in smart grids.Engineering 2021; 7(8):1101-1114.

[7]

Hao H, Wang Y, Chen J.Empowering scenario planning with artificial intelligence: a perspective on building smart and resilient cities.Engineering 2024; 43:272-283.

[8]

Wang R, Ma H, Sheng H, Zavala VM, Jin S.Exploiting different electricity markets via highly rate-mismatched modular electrochemical synthesis.Nat Energy 2024; 9:1064-1073.

[9]

Davidson MR, Zhang D, Xiong W, Zhang X, Karplus VJ.Modelling the potential for wind energy integration on China’s coal-heavy electricity grid.Nat Energy 2016; 1:16086.

[10]

Yu Y, Wang J, Chen Q, Urpelainen J, Ding Q, Liu S, et al.Decarbonization efforts hindered by China’s slow progress on electricity market reforms.Nat Sustain 2023; 6:1006-1015.

[11]

van J Ouwerkerk, Cort MCés, Nsir N, Gong J, Figgener J, Zurmühlen S, et al.Quantifying benefits of renewable investments for German residential prosumers in times of volatile energy markets.Nat Commun 2024; 15:8206.

[12]

Naval N, Yusta JM.Virtual power plant models and electricity markets—a review.Renew Sustain Energy Rev 2021; 149:111393.

[13]

Seel J, Millstein D, Mills A, Bolinger M, Wiser R.Plentiful electricity turns wholesale prices negative.Adv Appl Energy 2021; 4:100073.

[14]

.2019 annual report on market issues and performance.Report. California: California Independent System Operator; 2020.

[15]

Garcia JD, Street A, Homem-de-Mello T, Muñoz FD.Application-driven learning: a closed-loop prediction and optimization approach applied to dynamic reserves and demand forecasting. ar Xiv:2102.13273; 2021.

[16]

Elmachtoub AN, Grigas P.Smart “predict, then optimize”.Manag Sci 2021; 68(1):9-26.

[17]

Samaniego E, Anitescu C, Goswami S, Nguyen-Thanh VM, Guo H, Hamdia K, et al.An energy approach to the solution of partial differential equations in computational mechanics via machine learning: Concepts, implementation and applications.Comput Methods Appl Mech Eng 2020; 362:112790.

[18]

Anitescu C, Atroshchenko E, Alajlan N, Rabczuk T.Artificial neural network methods for the solution of second order boundary value problems.Compute Mater Continu 2019; 59(1):345-359.

[19]

Chen X, Liu Y, Wu L.Towards improving unit commitment economics: an add-on tailor for renewable energy and reserve predictions.IEEE Trans Sustain Energy 2024; 15(4):2547-2566.

[20]

Viafora N, Delikaraoglou S, Pinson P, Hug G, Holb Jøll.Dynamic reserve and transmission capacity allocation in wind-dominated power systems.IEEE Trans Power Syst 2021; 36(4):3017-3028.

[21]

Chen Y, Chang H, Meng J, Zhang D.Ensemble neural networks (ENN): a gradient-free stochastic method.Neural Netw 2019; 110:170-185.

[22]

Tang B, Khalil EB.PyEPO: a PyTorch-based end-to-end predict-then-optimize library for linear and integer programming.Mathem Program Comput 2024; 16:297-335.

[23]

Amos B, Kolter JZ.OptNet: Differentiable Optimization as a Layer in Neural Networks. ar Xiv:1703.00443v5; 2021.

[24]

Donti PL, Amos B, Kolter JZ.Task-based end-to-end model learning in stochastic optimization. ar Xiv:1703.04529v4; 2019.

[25]

Mandi J, Guns T.Interior point solving for LP-based prediction+ optimisation.Adv Neural Inform Proc Syst 2020; 33:7272-7282.

[26]

Vlastelica M, Paulus A, Musil V, Martius G, Rolínek M.Differentiation of blackbox combinatorial solvers. ar Xiv:1912.02175v2; 2020.

[27]

Berthet Q, Blondel M, Teboul O, Cuturi M, Vert JP, Bach FR.Learning with differentiable pertubed optimizers.H. Larochelle, M. Ranzato, R. Hadsell, M.F. Balcan, H. Lin (Eds.), Advances in neural information processing systems, NeurIPS Proceedings, San Diego 2020; 9508-9519.

[28]

Mulamba M, Mandi J, Diligenti M, Lombardi M, Bucarey V, Guns T.Contrastive losses and solution caching for predict-and-optimize. ar Xiv:2011.05354; 2020.

[29]

Mandi J, Bucarey V, Mulamba M, Guns T.Decision-focused learning: through the lens of learning to rank. ar Xiv:2112.03609v4; 2022.

[30]

Xu H, Chen Y, Zhang D.Worth of prior knowledge for enhancing deep learning.Nexus 2024; 1(1):100003.

[31]

Luo Z, Peng J, Zhang X, Jiang H, Yin R, Tan Y, et al.Optimal scheduling of smart home energy systems: a user-friendly and adaptive home intelligent agent with self-learning capability.Adv Appl Energy 2024; 15:100182.

[32]

Dong Z, Zhang X, Zhang N, Kang C, Strbac G.A distributed robust control strategy for electric vehicles to enhance resilience in urban energy systems.Adv Appl Energy 2023; 9:100115.

[33]

Sang L, Xu Y, Long H, Hu Q, Sun H.Electricity price prediction for energy storage system arbitrage: a decision-focused approach.IEEE Trans Smart Grid 2022; 13(4):2822-2832.

[34]

Connolly T, Zeelenberg M.Regret in decision making.Curr Dir Psychol Sci 2002; 11(6):212-216.

[35]

.entsoe.org. [Internet]. Budapest: Unicorn Systems a.s.; c2009–2025 [cited 2024 Jul 6]. Available from: https://transparency.entsoe.eu/dashboard/show.

[36]

Wang G, Zhou Y, Lin Z, Zhu S, Qiu R, Chen Y, et al.Robust energy management through aggregation of flexible resources in multi-home micro energy hub.Appl Energy 2024; 357:122471.

PDF (3733KB)

191

Accesses

0

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/