The Urgency to Regulate Informal EV Battery Recycling in China

Hetong Wang , Peng Wang , Jiashuo Li , Laixiang Sun , Kuishuang Feng

Engineering ›› : 202603019

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Engineering ›› :202603019 DOI: 10.1016/j.eng.2026.03.019
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The Urgency to Regulate Informal EV Battery Recycling in China
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Abstract

China’s electric vehicle (EV) boom will generate an unprecedented volume of battery waste, yet over 70% of end-of-life EV batteries currently flow to informal recyclers operating outside regulated channels. Low market entry barriers, high profit margins, and weak regulatory enforcement enable these informal oper- ators to outcompete licensed enterprises, posing a major obstacle to China’s sustainable energy transi- tion. By coupling the Global Change Analysis Model with dynamic material flow analysis, we project that retired EV battery volumes will reach 22.39 million tons by 2040 under the carbon neutrality scenar- io, representing 112-fold increases from the 2020 level. To address this escalating crisis, we urge coordi- nated actions among all stakeholders, including legislating extended producer responsibility, classifying end-of-life batteries as hazardous waste, raising market entry thresholds, supporting research and devel- opment for low-cost recycling technologies, and implementing ownership-based classification of retired batteries.

Keywords

Electric vehicle battery / Informal recycling / Waste management / Policy regulation

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Hetong Wang, Peng Wang, Jiashuo Li, Laixiang Sun, Kuishuang Feng. The Urgency to Regulate Informal EV Battery Recycling in China. Engineering 202603019 DOI:10.1016/j.eng.2026.03.019

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