技术预见作为日本的一项系统性国家科技政策，被长期坚持并卓有成效地开展。目前已开展的十次技术预见活动，对推动日本科技发展部署、企业技术创新与管理能力的提升都发挥了重要作用，并对深入认识技术发展规律具有重要意义。本文系统地介绍了日本第十次技术预见的方法、模式、实施体制及调查流程，分析了其主要经验与问题，为我国开展技术预见活动提供借鉴。

Technology foresight is a systemic national science and technology policy in Japan, where it has been consistently and effectively implemented. To date, Japan has implemented technology foresight research 10 times, thus meaningfully promoting research and development in science and technology in Japan, the technological innovation and management abilities of Japanese companies, and a deep understanding of the development law of technology. This paper introduces the methodology, modes, implementation system, and survey process of Japan's 10th technology foresight; analyzes its experiences and problems; and provides reference and guidance for technology foresight in China.