国内外颠覆性技术研究进展跟踪与研究方法总结

孙永福, 王礼恒, 陆春华, 孙棕檀, 王崑声, 徐源

中国工程科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (6) : 14-23.

PDF(397 KB)
PDF(397 KB)
中国工程科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (6) : 14-23. DOI: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.06.003
综合研究

国内外颠覆性技术研究进展跟踪与研究方法总结

作者信息 +

Summary of Research Progress and Methods of Disruptive Technology in China and Abroad

Author information +
History +

摘要

当前,全球科技创新进入空前密集活跃的时期,一些重大颠覆性技术不断涌现,推动新产业与新业态的迭代加速,深刻影响和改变国家力量对比,重塑世界经济结构和国际竞争格局,各国纷纷瞄准这一时代契机,积极对颠覆性技术进行早期识别与培育。本文对国内外各类颠覆性技术研究报告进行了广泛跟踪,对国内外颠覆性技术研究进展及主要采用的颠覆性技术评估与预测方法进行了归纳、分析和评价,并就促进我国颠覆性技术研究科学发展与快速成型提出集中优势资源设立专业智库群、建立科学的技术评估体系等相关建议。

Abstract

At present, technological innovation has entered an unprecedentedly intensive and active period worldwide, while some major disruptive technologies are constantly emerging. These disruptive technologies have accelerated the iteration of new industries and formats, are profoundly influencing the balance among national powers, and will contribute in reshaping the world economic structure and the international competition pattern. To seize this opportunity given by the times, countries are now actively engaged in early identification and nurture of disruptive technologies. In this paper, research reports on disruptive technologies in China and abroad are extensively followed, and research progress and methods of disruptive technologies are summarized, analyzed and evaluated. This paper also puts forward some suggestions to promote the scientific development of disruptive technology research in China, including establishment of specialized think tanks by concentrating superior resources, establishment of a scientific technology evaluation system, etc.

关键词

颠覆性技术 / 评估与预测 / 方法

Keywords

disruptive technology / assessment and prediction / methods

引用本文

导出引用
孙永福, 王礼恒, 陆春华. 国内外颠覆性技术研究进展跟踪与研究方法总结. 中国工程科学. 2018, 20(6): 14-23 https://doi.org/10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.06.003

参考文献

[1]
马利彬, 刁天喜, 房彤宇. 颠覆性技术识别方法研究与应用分析 [J]. 军事医学, 2018, 42(1): 4–8. Ma L B, Diao T X, Fang T Y. Research and application of disruptive technology identification methods [J]. Military Medical Sciences, 2018, 42(1): 4–8.
[2]
王安, 孙棕檀, 沈艳波, 等. 国外颠覆性技术识别方法浅析 [J]. 中 国工程科学, 2017, 19(5): 79–84. Wang A, Sun Z T, Shen Y B, et al. Analysis of disruptive technology identification methods in foreign countries [J]. Strate gic Study of CAE, 2017, 19(5): 79–84.
[3]
王崑声, 周晓纪, 龚旭, 等. 中国工程科技2035技术预见研究 [J]. 中国工程科学, 2017, 19(5): 34–42. Wang K S, Zhou X J, Gong X, et al. Technology foresight on China’s engineering science and technology to 2035 [J]. Strategic Study of CAE, 2017, 19(5): 34–42.
[4]
孙永福, 王礼恒, 孙棕檀, 等. 引发产业变革的颠覆性技术内涵 与遴选研究 [J]. 中国工程科学, 2017, 19(5): 9–16. Sun Y F, Wang L H, Sun Z T, et al. Connotation and selection of disruptive technologies that lead industrial change [J]. Strategic Study of CAE, 2017, 19(5): 9–16.
基金
中国工程院咨询项目“工程科技颠覆性技术战略研究”(2017-ZD-10)
PDF(397 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

段落导航
相关文章

/