伊朗铁路建设市场需求、机遇及挑战评估:基于中资企业视角

雷洋, 黄承锋, 张学进

中国工程科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (4) : 124-130.

PDF(479 KB)
PDF(479 KB)
中国工程科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (4) : 124-130. DOI: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2019.04.021
工程管理
Orginal Article

伊朗铁路建设市场需求、机遇及挑战评估:基于中资企业视角

作者信息 +

Analysis of Market Demand, Opportunities, and Challenges for Railway Construction in Iran from a Chinese Enterprises’ Perspective

Author information +
History +

摘要

伊朗铁路经过百年发展,在伊朗综合运输体系中占据重要地位。为满足伊朗国内经济社会发展需要,发挥国际交通枢纽的区位优势,伊朗制定了为期10 年的铁路发展规划,计划到2025 年,铁路网络既有线路全部实现电气化改造,复线率提升至100%,并且实现铁路里程翻番目标。伊朗铁路提升计划为中资企业进入伊朗工程建设市场提供了利好和机遇,中资企业参与伊朗铁路提升计划也面临“伊核协议”不确定性、营商环境不佳、铁路建设领域大国“角逐”,以及技术标准选择偏好等四方面的挑战。研究建议,中资企业参与伊朗铁路建设市场,不仅需要敏锐捕捉机会,也需要谨慎评估存在的风险;结合国际政治经济形势,综合权衡成本和收益,进行理性决策,在响应“一带一路”倡议过程中,稳健地实施“走出去”战略。

Abstract

After over a century’s development, railway transportation is now occupying an important position in the comprehensive transportation system in Iran. To serve the demands for domestic economic and social development and give full play to the regional advantages as an international transportation hub, Iran has formulated a ten-year railway development plan. By the end of 2025, all the existing railway lines in Iran are expected to be electrified, the rate of double track railways will be increased to 100%, and the railway mileage in Iran will be doubled. This Iranian railway upgrading plan has provided favorable opportunities for Chinese enterprises to enter the Iranian engineering construction market. Meanwhile, Chinese enterprises are facing various challenges, including the uncertainty of The Iranian Nuclear Deal, unsound business environment, competition from nations that are strong in railway construction, and Iran’s preference of technical standards. Therefore, Chinese enterprises should carefully assess the existing risks while observantly seizing the opportunities, and make rational decisions by comprehensively analyzing the international political and economic situations and comprehensively weighting the costs and benefits, thereby steadily “going global” under the “Belt and Road” initiative.

关键词

伊朗 / 铁路 / 中资企业 / 机遇 / 挑战

Keywords

Iran / railway / Chinese enterprises / opportunities / challenges

引用本文

导出引用
雷洋, 黄承锋, 张学进. 伊朗铁路建设市场需求、机遇及挑战评估:基于中资企业视角. 中国工程科学. 2019, 21(4): 124-130 https://doi.org/10.15302/J-SSCAE-2019.04.021

参考文献

[1]
范鸿达. 中国在伊朗推进“一带一路”战略倡议的政治环境与因 应 [J]. 西亚非洲, 2016 (2): 49–64. Fan H D. China’s “The Belt and Road” initiate in Iran: political environment and coping style [J]. West Asia and Africa, 2016 (2): 49–64.
[2]
Railways of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Main lines constructed before the Islamic revolution [EB/OL]. (2015-01-14) [2018-10-12]. http://www.rai.ir/Index.aspx?page_=form&lang=2&PageID=623&tempname=EngMain2&sub=0&blockid=block1340.
[3]
Railways of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The railways of the Islamic Republic of Iran [EB/OL]. (2015-01-14) [2018-10-12]. http://www.rai.ir//dorsapax/Data/Sub_0/File/Introduction.pdf.
[4]
Statistical Center of Iran. Iran statistical yearbook 2015-2016 [EB/ OL]. (2018-01-9) [2018-10-12]. https://www.amar.org.ir/Portals/1/ yearbook/1394/12.pdf.
[5]
雷洋, 黄承锋, 陈泽. 伊朗交通基础设施现状与发展前景评估 [J]. 世界地理研究, 2018, 27(2): 45–54. Lei Y, Huang C F, Chen Z. The situation and development prospect of transportation infrastructure in Iran [J]. World Regional Studies, 2018, 27(2): 45–54.
[6]
Rogers D. Iran´s railway revolution [EB/OL]. (2015-12-14) [2018- 10-12]. http://www.globalconstructionreview.com/markets/howislamic-republic-set-become-land-br8i8d8ge/.
[7]
Railways of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Investment & participation/opportunities [EB/OL]. (2015-10-30) [2018-10-12]. http://www.rai.ir/Index.aspx?page_=form&lang=2&PageID=2809&tempname=EngMain2&sub=0&blockid=block1342.
[8]
张志东, 王晓民. 伊朗优质矿藏有待开发 [J]. 世界有色金属, 2012 (4): 20–25. Zhang Z D, Wang X M. Iran’s high-quality minerals are yet to be developed [J]. World Nonferrous Metals, 2012 (4): 20–25.
[9]
冀开运, 冀佩琳. 伊朗人口政策的演变及特点 [J]. 长安大学学 报(社会科学版), 2014, 16(1): 84–88. Ji K Y, Ji P L. Characteristics of evolution of Iranian population policy [J]. Journal of Chang’an University (Social Science Edition), 2014, 16(1): 84–88.
[10]
United Nations Statistics Division. Population censuses´ datasets [EB/OL]. (2018-02-20) [2018-10-12]. http://data.un.org/Data. aspx?d=POP&f=tableCode%3a1.
[11]
Department of Economic and Social Affairs. World population prospects the 2017 revision, key Findings and advance tables [EB/ OL]. [2018-10-12]. https://population.un.org/wpp/Publications/Files/WPP2017_KeyFindings.pdf.
[12]
Verily. Population and housing censuses [R/OL]. [2018-10- 12]. https://www.amar.org.ir/english/Population-and-HousingCensuses.
[13]
Financial Tribune. China finances Tehran-Isfahan highspeed railroad [EB/OL]. (2017-07-21) [2018-10-12]. https:// financialtribune.com/articles/economy-domestic-economy/68698/china-finances-tehran-isfahan-high-speed-railroad.
[14]
杨韬. 中国海外工程承包企业竞争力分析 [J]. 国际经济合作, 2014 (1): 17–24. Yang T. Analysis on the competitiveness of China’s overseas engineering contracting enterprises[J]. International Economic Cooperation, 2014 (1): 17–24.
[15]
Financial Tribune. Tehran-Mashhad railroad project gets off the ground [EB/OL]. (2017-12-19) [2018-10-12]. https://financialtribune.com/articles/domestic-economy/78248/tehranmashhad-railroad-project-gets-off-the-ground.
[16]
Kristalina G. Doing business 2018 reforming to create jobs [R]. Washington: World Bank, 2018.
[17]
陆瑾. 历史与现实视阈下的中伊合作: 基于伊朗人对“一带一 路”认知的解读 [J]. 西亚非洲, 2015 (6): 53–69. Lu J. China Iranian cooperation in history and modern times: An explanation-based Iranians views of “The Belt and Road” initiate [J]. West Asia and Africa, 2015 (6): 53–69.
基金
中国工程院咨询项目“‘一带一路’交通基础设施发展战略研究”(2018-ZX-11-01);国家社会科学基金重点项目(16AGJ007);重庆市社会科学规划项目(2017QNGL58)
PDF(479 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

段落导航
相关文章

/