战略性新兴产业体现了新一轮科技革命和产业变革的方向，是落实供给侧结构性改革、培育发展新动能、获取未来竞争新优势的关键领域。研究未来一段时间内国际国内发展环境的重大变化，提出发展应对策略，成为我国新兴产业亟需解决的问题。本文梳理了战略性新兴产业发展现状，采用主因素研究方法，从新兴技术、新兴需求、国际环境、国内生态的角度预测分析了产业发展面临的环境变化。研究表明，战略性新兴产业在国民经济发展中的作用不断提升，“十四五”将是产业发展的重要机遇期；全球新兴科技爆发，国际环境深度调整，我国经济进入新阶段，人民追求美好生活伴生新需求，将对战略性新兴产业的发展带来重大影响。为此提出建议，在战略性新兴产业后续政策设计、国家“十四五”规划制定过程中，合理调整发展领域、加强创新能力建设、完善发展环境、优化产业布局，促使产业发展适应新的宏观形势。

Strategic emerging industries represent the direction for the new round of scientific and technological revolution as well as industrial transformation. They are key areas for China to implement supply-side structural reforms, foster new momentum for development, and gain new competitive advantages. Proposing corresponding development strategies to face major changes in the international and domestic environments in the future has become urgent need for China’s emerging industries. This paper sorts out the current status of strategic emerging industries, and adopts principal factor analysis to predict the environmental changes facing industrial development, from the perspectives of emerging technologies, new needs, international environment, and domestic ecology. Studies show that the role of strategic emerging industries in China’s national economy is becoming increasingly important, and the 14th Five-Year Plan period will be an important period of opportunities for industrial development. Meanwhile, emerging technologies are expected to boom worldwide and the international environment will undergo a profound adjustment. All these changes will pose significant impacts on the development of strategic emerging industries. Thus, to promote industrial development to adapt to the new macro situation, we propose that China should rationally adjust the development areas, strengthen its innovation capacity, improve the development environment, and optimize the industrial layout, in the follow-up policy design of strategic emerging industries and the formulation of the 14th Five-Year Plan.