
全球能源转型及我国能源革命战略系统分析
Strategic Analysis of Global Energy Transition and China’s Energy Revolution
能源革命是实现能源系统与经济社会、生态环境协调发展的重要途径,能源战略对国家和地区能源革命进程的推进具有重大影响。本文提出了一种用于能源战略分析的“SEGO”系统分析方法,从能源挑战、能源系统、能源治理和能源市场4个要素及其关系出发,对全球能源转型及我国能源革命战略进行了系统分析。研究表明,全球面临能源公平、能源安全和能源绿色化多重能源挑战,且缺乏强有力的全球能源治理,导致全球能源系统转型总体较为缓慢,中国被期望在推动全球能源系统转型中起到更加积极主动的作用;我国的能源可持续发展逐步推进,在能源革命过程中面临能源系统集成等挑战,但政治意愿坚定,有效推动了能源转型,实现了少耗能、少排放。研究建议,我国能源革命应从经济社会、生态环境的全景视角下,做好能源发展的全局系统优化和全程精细管控,尤其做好不同类型能源网络之间共建、共享、共调的深度协同,加速能源新技术、新产业的颠覆式创新。
Energy revolution is important for realizing the coordinated development of energy system, economic society, and ecological environment. Energy strategies significantly influence the process of national and regional energy revolutions. In this article, we propose a systemic analysis method for energy strategies called SEGO (i.e., sustainable development, energy system, governance of society, and operation of market). Based on this, the global energy transition and China’s energy revolution strategy are analyzed from four aspects: energy challenge, energy system, energy governance, and energy market as well as their relationship. The results show that the world faces multiple energy challenges regarding energy equity, energy security, and green energy. Meanwhile, lack of strong energy governance has led to a low progress of the global energy transition. China is expected to play a more active role in promoting global energy transition. Although China has achieved less energy consumption and less emissions in its development, it still faces severe challenges in multiple aspects such as energy system integration. China should focus on the overall optimization and fine management of its energy system while considering economic development and ecological protection. The co-construction, sharing, and co-adjustment should be further coordinated among different types of energy networks. Moreover, disruptive innovation in new energy technologies and industries should be encouraged.
能源转型 / 全球能源系统 / 中国能源系统 / SEGO /
energy transition / global energy system / China’s energy system / sustainable development / energy system / governance of society / and operation of market (SEGO)
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