面向工业制造的确定性网络技术作为兼具理论创新性与技术实用性的前沿领域，对推动新一代工业互联网技术创新、促进工业制造和高质量网络融合发展具有价值，也为抢占确定性网络技术制高点、抓住新的经济增长点提供机遇。本文从制造企业、通信厂商两方面研判了面向工业制造的确定性网络技术发展需求，详细梳理了国内外面向工业制造的确定性网络技术发展现状和趋势；进一步凝练我国面向工业制造的确定性网络技术发展面临的挑战，完成了面向工业制造的确定性网络技术发展阶段划分：试点示范阶段、规模化复制阶段、自发创新驱动阶段。研究表明，我国“确定性网络 + 工业制造”发展需要重点关注：成立产业联盟促进生态发展，加快形成公网专用的先发优势，重视行业发展路径选取，加大应用创新发展的资源保障，加强基础理论和关键技术研究，注重“产学研”一体化人才培育。

Deterministic networking for industrial manufacturing is a frontier technology with both theoretical innovativeness and technical practicability; it is significant for promoting technological innovations of the new-generation industrial Internet and for promoting the integrated development of industrial manufacturing and high-quality network, thereby providing opportunities for occupying the commanding height of network technology and seizing new economic growth points. This study investigates the development requirements for deterministic networking for industrial manufacturing from the aspects of manufacturing and communication enterprises, summarizes the development status and trends of the technology in detail, and further addresses development challenges. We classify the development stages of the technology into pilot demonstration, large-scale replication, and spontaneous innovation. Research reveals that the “deterministic network + industrial manufacturing” development in China needs to focus on the following aspects: establishing industry alliances to improve the industrial ecology, maximizing the existing public networks, carefully selecting industry development paths, increasing resource guarantee for application innovation, strengthening research on basic theories and key technologies, and training personnel through collaboration among industry, universities, and research institutes.