
从能源大国到能源强国:国际经验与中国路径
Improve China's Strength in Energy: International Experience and Chinese Path
能源是强国之基、推动经济社会高质量和可持续发展的关键支撑。本文梳理了世界主要能源强国或大国的能源建设经验,归纳出能源供应稳定多元、能源消费低碳高效、能源科技创新引领、能源市场开放有序、能源治理体系完备等世界能源强国的普遍特征;在辨识我国能源强国建设的优势与短板的基础上,提出了建设能源强国的中国路径,包括阶段性目标、重点任务和关键举措。研究建议:加大煤炭资源的清洁利用力度,增强煤炭在能源安全中的兜底保障作用;加大油气资源勘探开发和增储上产力度,推进陆相页岩油革命,努力提高油气自给保障能力;推动可再生能源规模化,积极布局氢能等清洁能源,通过多能源协同提高能源安全供应能力、兼顾落实减碳目标。相关举措将有力支撑我国从能源大国到能源强国的顺利转变。
Energy is the foundation of a strong country and an engine to promote high-quality and sustainable economic development. This study summarizes the experiences of major energy powerhouses worldwide regarding energy development, believing that they have achieved excellent performance in multiple dimensions such as the stable and diversified energy supply, low-carbon and efficient energy consumption, leading innovation in energy technologies, orderly and open energy market, and completeness in energy governance systems. Moreover, this study reviews the advantages and disadvantages of energy development in China and proposes a Chinese path to becoming an energy powerhouse, involving staged objectives, key tasks, and measures. The basic conclusion is that we need to increase the clean utilization of coal resources to exploit the role of coal in ensuring energy security. Meanwhile, it is crucial to improve China's ability of oil and gas self-sufficiency by strengthening the exploration and development of oil and gas resources and promoting the lacustrine shale oil revolution. It is also important to scale up the renewable energy sources and optimize the layout of clean energy sources such as hydrogen, thereby improving energy security and implementing the carbon reduction goals through multi-energy coordination.
能源强国 / 国际经验 / 中国路径 / 能源转型 / 能源市场 / 能源科技
energy powerhouse / international experience / Chinese path / energy transition / energy market / energy science and technology
[1] |
工程院院长预测: 2025 年中国将成制造强国 [N]. 科技日报, 2014-11-24 (05).
The president of the Academy of Engineering predict: China will become a manufacturing power in 2025 [N]. Science and Technology Daily, 2014-11-24 (05).
|
[2] |
刘丹, 王迪, 赵蔷, 等. "制造强国"评价指标体系构建及初步分析 [J]. 中国工程科学, 2015, 17(7): 96‒103.
Liu D, Wang D, Zhao Q, et al. Construction and preliminary analysis of evaluation index system of "manufacturing power" [J]. Strategic Study of CAE, 2015, 17(7): 96‒103.
|
[3] |
李金华. 德国"工业4.0"背景下中国制造强国的六大行动路径 [J]. 南京社会科学, 2016 (1): 8‒16.
Li J H. The six paths of China's manufacturing power under the background of Germany "industrial 4.0" [J]. Nanjing Journal of Social Sciences, 2016 (1): 8‒16.
|
[4] |
"制造强国的主要指标研究"课题组. 制造强国的主要指标 [J]. 中国工程科学, 2015, 17(7): 7‒19.
The Research Group of Research on Manufacturing Power Evaluation System. Main index of manufacturing power [J]. Strategic Study of CAE, 2015, 17(7): 7‒19.
|
[5] |
李连成. 交通强国的内涵及评价指标体系 [J]. 北京交通大学学报(社会科学版), 2020, 19(2): 12‒19.
Li L C. Connotation and evaluation index system for building China's strength in transportation [J]. Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University (Social Sciences Edition), 2020, 19(2): 12‒19.
|
[6] |
杨雪英. 交通强国的内涵与关键指标分析 [J]. 交通运输部管理干部学院学报, 2017, 27(4): 16‒20.
Yang X Y. Analysis on the connotation and key indicators of a strong transportation country [J]. Journal of Transport Management Institute Ministry of Transport, 2017, 27(4): 16‒20.
|
[7] |
黄祖辉, 傅琳琳. 建设农业强国: 内涵、关键与路径 [J]. 求索, 2023 (1): 132‒141.
Huang Z H, Fu L L. Building a powerful agricultural country: Connotation, key and path [J]. Seeker, 2023 (1): 132‒141.
|
[8] |
魏后凯, 崔凯. 农业强国的内涵特征、建设基础与推进策略 [J]. 改革, 2022 (12): 1‒11.
Wei H K, Cui K. Agricultural powerhouse's connotation characteristics, construction foundation and promotion strategies [J]. Reform, 2022 (12): 1‒11.
|
[9] |
McKay H, Song L G. China as a global manufacturing powerhouse: Strategic considerations and structural adjustment [J]. China & World Economy, 2010, 18(1): 1‒32.
|
[10] |
胡新艳, 陈卓, 罗必良. 建设农业强国: 战略导向、目标定位与路径选择 [J]. 广东社会科学, 2023 (2): 5‒14, 286.
Hu X Y, Chen Z, Luo B L. Building an agricultural powerhouse: Strategic orientation, target positioning and path selection [J]. Social Sciences in Guangdong, 2023 (2): 5‒14, 286.
|
[11] |
周守为, 朱军龙, 李清平, 等. 科学稳妥实现"双碳"目标,积极推进能源强国建设 [J]. 天然气工业, 2022, 42(12): 1‒11.
Zhou S W, Zhu J L, Li Q P, et al. Scientifically and prudently achieving the goals of peak carbon emissions and carbon neutrality, actively promoting the construction of an energy power [J]. Natural Gas Industry, 2022, 42(12): 1‒11.
|
[12] |
邹才能, 潘松圻, 荆振华, 等. 页岩油气革命及影响 [J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(1): 1‒12.
Zou C N, Pan S Q, Jing Z H, et al. Shale oil and gas revolution and its impact [J]. Acta Petrolei Sinica, 2020, 41(1): 1‒12.
|
[13] |
陈妍, 刘梦. 美欧能源战略及对我国能源强国建设启示 [J]. 中国经贸导刊, 2023 (6): 51‒54.
Chen Y, Liu M. American and European energy strategy and its enlightenment to the construction of China's energy power [J]. China Economic & Trade Herald, 2023 (6): 51‒54.
|
[14] |
马朋林, 张所续. 日本保障能源供应安全的政策措施及其对我国的启示 [J]. 能源与环境, 2019 (4): 13‒15.
Ma P L, Zhang S X. Japan's policies and measures to ensure the safety of energy supply and its enlightenment to China [J]. Energy and Environment, 2019 (4): 13‒15.
|
[15] |
Energy Institute. Statistical review of world energy 2023 [EB/OL]. [2024-07-15]. https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review.
|
[16] |
Rechsteiner R. German energy transition (Energiewende) and what politicians can learn for environmental and climate policy [J]. Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy, 2021, 23(2): 305‒342.
|
[17] |
Paramati S R, Shahzad U, Doğan B. The role of environmental technology for energy demand and energy efficiency: Evidence from OECD countries [J]. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2022, 153: 111735.
|
[18] |
Desing H, Widmer R. Reducing climate risks with fast and complete energy transitions: Applying the precautionary principle to the Paris agreement [J]. Environmental Research Letters, 2021, 16(12): 121002.
|
[19] |
刘泽洪, 阎志鹏, 侯宇. 俄乌冲突对世界能源发展的影响与启示 [J]. 全球能源互联网, 2022, 5(4): 309‒317.
Liu Z H, Yan Z P, Hou Y. The impact and implication of Russia-Ukraine conflict on world energy development [J]. Journal of Global Energy Interconnection, 2022, 5(4): 309‒317.
|
[20] |
Höysniemi S. Energy futures reimagined: The global energy transition and dependence on Russian energy as issues in the sociotechnical imaginaries of energy security in Finland [J]. Energy Research & Social Science, 2022, 93: 102840.
|
[21] |
侯梅芳, 葛苏, 程小岛. 新形势下中国能源安全的内涵、挑战和举措 [J]. 天然气工业, 2022, 42(9): 157‒165.
Hou M F, Ge S, Cheng X D. China's energy security under the new situation: Connotation, challenges and strategic initiatives [J]. Natural Gas Industry, 2022, 42(9): 157‒165.
|
[22] |
Keles D, Yilmaz H Ü. Decarbonisation through coal phase-out in Germany and Europe—Impact on emissions, electricity prices and power production [J]. Energy Policy, 2020, 141: 111472.
|
[23] |
Bai Y, Dahl C. Evaluating the management of U.S. strategic petroleum reserve during oil disruptions [J]. Energy Policy, 2018, 117: 25‒38.
|
[24] |
World Bank Group. World Bank open data [EB/OL]. [2024-07-15]. https://data.worldbank.org/.
|
/
〈 |
|
〉 |