
加强洪涝灾害风险管理的途径研究
Approaches to Strengthening Flood Risk Management
洪涝灾害是最严重的自然灾害之一,我国洪涝灾害防治策略已从减少灾害损失向减轻灾害风险转变。研究洪涝灾害风险的驱动要素和管理途径将为制定与落实国家洪涝灾害防治策略提供技术支撑,对采取多样化措施提升洪涝灾害风险管理水平和降低洪涝灾害损失具有重要意义。结合国内外洪涝灾害风险管理研究进展,本文梳理了洪涝灾害风险的主要组成要素,研究了降低洪涝灾害风险的主要途径,分析了洪涝灾害风险管理有效实施的环境条件。研究提出了洪涝灾害风险不仅取决于危险性洪水,还取决于经济社会对洪水威胁的暴露度和脆弱性;揭示了洪涝灾害风险不可能完全消除,可通过常态预防 ‒ 应急准备 ‒ 应急响应 ‒ 灾后重建各环节的一系列措施对风险组成要素进行科学调控,实现洪水灾害风险达到可接受的水平;提出了完善洪涝灾害风险管理规划,加强国土空间洪涝灾害风险管控,完善防洪工程体系,提高应对洪水的应急响应和恢复能力等洪涝灾害风险管理的主要途径;通过完善政策法规、有效协调机制、全社会参与等环境条件可保障洪涝灾害风险管理有效实施。研究建议:加强洪涝灾害风险评价,确定可接受的洪涝灾害风险水平,完善防洪标准体系;结合实地条件,采取多样化的方案降低洪涝灾害风险;提高全社会洪涝灾害风险意识,促进全社会参与到洪涝灾害风险防控过程等。
Flood is one of the most serious natural disasters, and China's flood control policies have transitioned from reducing disaster losses to mitigating disaster risks. Research on the driving factors and management approaches of flood risks will provide technical support for formulating and implementing flood control strategies, with great significance for adopting diversified measures to improve flood risk management and reduce flood losses. Based on the research progresses relating flood risk management in China and abroad, this study elucidates the major components or driving factors of flood risks, explores the major approaches to reducing flood risks, and analyzes the environment for effectively implementing flood risk management. The results indicate: (1) Flood risks depend not only on the hazardous flood, but also on the exposure and vulnerability of the economy and society threatened by flood; (2) the risk of flood disasters cannot be completely eliminated, but can be regulated to an acceptable level by implementing a series of measures at different stages of prevention, preparedness, emergency response, and post disaster reconstruction; (3) approaches for flood risk management include improving the planning of flood risk management, strengthening spatial plan and management with inclusion of flood risk information, improving the flood control structure system, and enhancing flood emergency preparedness, response, and recovery capabilities; and (4) improving policies and regulations, effective coordination mechanisms, and promoting participation of the whole social can enable the effective implementation of flood risk management. The following suggestions are further proposed: (1) strengthening flood risk assessment, determining the acceptable flood disaster risks, and improving the flood control standards system; (2) diversifying approaches and measures tailored to different conditions to reduce flood risks; and (3) enhancing the whole society's awareness of flood risks and promoting their participation in flood risk management.
洪涝灾害 / 风险管理 / 空间规划 / 防洪工程体系 / 应急管理
flood disaster / risk management / spatial planning / flood control structures / emergency management
[1] |
国家防汛抗旱总指挥部办公室, 水利部南京水文水资源研究所. 中国水旱灾害 [M]. 北京: 中国水利水电出版社, 1997.
Office of the National Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, Nanjing Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources, Ministry of Water Resources. Flood and drought disasters in China [M]. Beijing: China Water & Power Press, 1997.
|
[2] |
中华人民共和国水利部. 中国水旱灾害防御公报2020 [M]. 北京: 中国水利水电出版社, 2021.
Ministry of Water Resources of the People's Republic China. China flood and drought disaster prevention bulletin 2020 [M]. Beijing: China Water & Power Press, 2021.
|
[3] |
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Special report on managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation [R]. New York: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2012.
|
[4] |
Willner S N, Levermann A, Zhao F, et al. Adaptation required to preserve future high-end river flood risk at present levels [J]. Science Advances, 2018, 4(1): eaao1914.
|
[5] |
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Climate change 2021: The physical science basis [R]. New York: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2021.
|
[6] |
水利部编写组. 深入学习贯彻习近平关于治水的重要论述 [M]. 北京: 人民出版社, 2023.
Compiling Group of Ministry of Water Resource. Deeply learning and implementation Xi Jinping's significant discourse on water governance [M]. Beijing: People's Publishing House, 2023.
|
[7] |
国家减灾委员会. "十四五"国家综合防灾减灾规划 [EB/OL].(2022-06-19)[2024-08-14]. https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/2022-07/22/content_5702154.htm.
National Disaster Reduction Commission. National comprehensive plan for disaster prevention and reduction in the 14th Five Years [EB/OL]. (2022-06-19)[2024-08-14]. https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/2022-07/22/content_5702154.htm.
|
[8] |
中共中央 国务院. 国家水网建设规划纲要 [EB/OL]. (2023-05-25)[2024-08-14]. https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/202305/content_6876214.htm.
The Central Committee of the Communist of Party of China, the State Council. Outline of the national water network construction plan [EB/OL]. (2023-05-25)[2024-08-14]. https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/202305/content_6876214.htm.
|
[9] |
United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. Sendai framework for disaster risk reduction 2015—2030 [J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2015, 6(2): 210‒233.
|
[10] |
Soz S A, Kryspin-Watson J, Stanton-Geddes Z. The role of green infrastructure solutions in urban flood risk management [R]. Washington DC: World Bank, 2016.
|
[11] |
Kundzewicz Z W, Hegger D L T, Matczak P, et al. Flood-risk reduction: Structural measures and diverse strategies [J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2018, 115(49): 12321‒12325.
|
[12] |
Greg B, Sanchez A N, Jongman B, et al. An EPIC response: Innovative governance for flood and drought risk management [R]. Washington DC: World Bank, 2021.
|
[13] |
Jongman B. Effective adaptation to rising flood risk [J]. Nature Communications, 2018, 9(1): 1986.
|
[14] |
钮新强, 胡维忠, 刘佳明, 等. 构建适应新阶段高质量发展的长江防洪体系 [J]. 中国水利, 2022 (5): 20‒23.
Niu X Q, Hu W Z, Liu J M, et al. Creating a flood control mechanism of the Yangtze River for high-quality development in the new stage [J]. China Water Resources, 2022 (5): 20‒23.
|
[15] |
夏军, 陈进. 从防御2020年长江洪水看新时代防洪战略 [J]. 中国科学: 地球科学, 2021, 51(1): 27‒34.
Xia J, Chen J. A new era of flood control strategies from the perspective of managing the 2020 Yangtze River flood [J]. Scientia Sinica (Terrae), 2021, 51(1): 27‒34.
|
[16] |
齐璞, 孙赞盈, 齐宏海. 黄河下游新情况、新问题、新的治理措施 [J]. 中国工程科学, 2014, 16(8): 64‒68.
Qi P, Sun Z Y, Qi H H. New situations, new problems and new harnessing strategies for the lower Yellow River [J]. Strategic Study of CAE, 2014, 16(8): 64‒68.
|
[17] |
张金良. 关于完善黄河流域防洪工程体系相关举措的思考 [J]. 人民黄河, 2022, 44(1): 5‒9.
Zhang J L. Thoughts on measures for improving the flood control engineering system of the Yellow River basin [J]. Yellow River, 2022, 44(1): 5‒9.
|
[18] |
张建云, 王银堂, 贺瑞敏, 等. 中国城市洪涝问题及成因分析 [J]. 水科学进展, 2016, 27(4): 485‒491.
Zhang J Y, Wang Y T, He R M, et al. Discussion on the urban flood and waterlogging and causes analysis in China [J]. Advances in Water Science, 2016, 27(4): 485‒491.
|
[19] |
程晓陶, 刘昌军, 李昌志, 等. 变化环境下洪涝风险演变特征与城市韧性提升策略 [J]. 水利学报, 2022, 53(7): 757‒768, 778.
Cheng X T, Liu C J, Li C Z, et al. Evolution characteristics of flood risk under changing environment and strategy of urban resilience improvement [J]. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 2022, 53(7): 757‒768, 778.
|
[20] |
李原园, 文康, 沈福新, 等. 变化环境下的洪水风险管理研究 [M]. 北京: 中国水利水电出版社, 2013.
Li Y Y, Wen K, Shen F X, et al. Flood risk management in changing environments [M]. Beijing: China Water & Power Press, 2013.
|
[21] |
李娜, 王艳艳, 王静, 等. 洪水风险管理理论与技术 [J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2022, 32(1): 54‒62.
Li N, Wang Y Y, Wang J, et al. Flood risk management theory and technique [J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2022, 32(1): 54‒62.
|
[22] |
程晓陶. 新时代治水方略调整方向的探讨 [J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2018, 28(8): 13‒16.
Cheng X T. Adjustment of water management strategies in a new era [J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2018, 28(8): 13‒16.
|
[23] |
秦大河. 中国极端天气气候事件和灾害风险管理与适应国家评估报告: 精华版 [M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2015.
Qin D H. China national assessment report on risk management and adaptation of climate extreme and disaster (refined edition) [M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2015.
|
[24] |
周伟奇, 朱家蓠. 城市内涝与基于自然的解决方案研究综述 [J]. 生态学报, 2022, 42(13): 5137‒5151.
Zhou W Q, Zhu J L. Review on nature-based solutions and applications on urban waterlogging mitigation [J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2022, 42(13): 5137‒5151.
|
[25] |
World Meteorological Organization, Global Water Partnership. Selecting measures and designing strategies for integrated flood management [R]. Geneva: World Meteorological Organization and Global Water Partnership, 2017.
|
[26] |
Kapetas L, Fenner R. Integrating blue-green and grey infrastructure through an adaptation pathways approach to surface water flooding [J]. Philosophical Transactions Series A, Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences, 2020, 378(2168): 20190204.
|
[27] |
United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization. World water development report 2018: Nature-based solutions for water [R]. Paris: United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, 2018.
|
[28] |
Chiu Y Y, Raina N, Chen H E. Evolution of flood defense strategies: Toward nature-based solutions [J]. Environments, 2021, 9(1): 2.
|
[29] |
国务院灾害调查组. 河南郑州"7·20"特大暴雨灾害调查报告 [R]. 北京: 国务院灾害调查组, 2022.
The State Council Disaster Investigation Group. Investigation report on "7·20" extremely heavy rainstorm disaster in Zhengzhou, Henan Province [R]. Beijing: The State Council Disaster Investigation Group, 2022.
|
/
〈 |
|
〉 |