从我国光伏产业与国际的差距以及即将"入世"所面临的挑战出发，分析了世界光伏产业发展的趋势、速度及我国光伏产业应采取的发展战略，对21世纪前期的发展作出初步预测，同时还分析了为实现发展战略构想应采取的驱动措施。分析表明，世界光伏产业在2000～2010年期间将以28.5%的年增长速率发展，如果我们能抓住"入世"机遇在同一期间以35％的年增长率发展，就能使我国光伏发电成本在2010年与国际趋同。

From the development trend and rate of world photovoltaic (PV) industry and the difference between China and the world and the challenge faced by getting into WTO, this paper analyzes the development strategy and rate of China's PV industry which should be adopted. The analysis shows that world PV industry development will speed up with an average increase of 28.5% during 2000 - 2010. If china can seize the opportunity of “getting into WTO” to speed up its PV industry with an average increase rate of 35% per year during the same period, the Chinese PV Industry may catch up with world average level in terms of the cost of PV electricity. The preliminary prediction of the development in the earlier stage of 21st century and the analysis of driving measures for realizing the strategy plot are made in this paper as well.