我国地震预测成绩的回顾与统计

高建国()

中国工程科学 ›› 2009, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (6) : 129-131.

PDF(628 KB)
PDF(628 KB)
中国工程科学 ›› 2009, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (6) : 129-131.

我国地震预测成绩的回顾与统计

  • 高建国()

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Statistic and review of China’s earthquake prediction score

  • Gao Jianguo

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摘要

地震预测预报的难度大,但并非了无痕迹或不可知,我国每次较大的地震都有案例总结。统计表明,近40 年来,有77 次地震在发生前均有中期、短期甚至临震预测,不能因为汶川地震预测的失败,就全面抹杀中国的地震预报成绩,即我国的地震预测成绩是应予肯定的,汶川地震也并非是无前兆的“怪震”。

Abstract

Earthquake is difficult to forecast, but it doesn't happen without signs or unknown,our country has the case summary for every large earthquake.Statistics clearly show that there have been 77 predictions about middle -term, short -term or imminent earthquakes in the last 40 years.Therefore, success in Chinese earthquake prediction could not be denied only because of failure in Wenchuan Earthquake prediction.China's earthquake prediction score should be positive,and Wenchuan Earthquake is not a "strange shock" without any precursor.

关键词

地震 / 地震预测 / 中国近30 多年的地震预报统计

Keywords

earthquake / earthquake prediction / nearly 30 years’earthquake prediction statistics in china

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高建国. 我国地震预测成绩的回顾与统计. 中国工程科学. 2009, 11(6): 129-131

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