中国页岩气勘探已在四川、鄂尔多斯等盆地及重庆、云南、贵州、湖南等地区获得发现，证实具有良好资源前景。依据最新资料，落实了稳定区面积、集中段厚度、可采资源丰度、含气量等资源评价关键参数，采用3种方法预测了我国页岩气可采资源量及分布。借鉴美国典型页岩气区发展经验，采用多种方法预测了我国页岩气未来达到的产量规模和发展路线图，明确提出了页岩气在我国未来天然气发展中的地位和作用。

Based on shale gas resource potential the paper studies the development conditions, volume of production, the future status of shale gas in natural gas development of China. It is showed that shale gas resources are rich in China. Shale gas has been found in Sichuan basin, Ordos basin, Nanyang basin, Chongqing City, Yunnan Province, Guizhou Province, Hunan Province, and other areas with average production of one well being more than 1×104 m3/d. A good development prospect of shale gas is showed in China. By many kinds of resources forecasting methods,the volume of shale gas technical recoverable resources is (9～12)×1012 m3. According to comprehensive development tendency of north American, exploitation ways of 20 year stable production, Pad drilling site, and advantageous exploitation area of (25~30)×104 km2, the producing rate of shale gas in China could be expected to 100×108 m3 in 2020 and 600×108m3 in 2030. Shale gas development in China would occupy an important position of natural gas development in the future, and play an important role to improve the energy structure, ensure energy supply and promote a low carbon economic development.