The success of the prediction of Haicheng earthquake and the negligence of the Tangshan earthquake

Peng Funan

Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2008, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (2) : 9 -18.

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Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2008, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (2) : 9 -18.

The success of the prediction of Haicheng earthquake and the negligence of the Tangshan earthquake

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Abstract

The success of the prediction of Haicheng earthquake and the failure of the prediction of Tangshan earthquake were both well known in the world. What happened, why such a strong earthquake as occurred in Haicheng had been predicted successfully and with a small loss of lives and property? Why a successively strong earthquake about a year later in a region not so further was failure in the imminent stage of prediction and there were so many fatalities and a great degree of property? The author addresses these points based on these true experiences including the first hand experiences leading up to, during, and following these two earthquarter. In addition, he also introduced some seimic phenomena which he had seen after Chichi earthquake in Taiwan.

Keywords

Haicheng earthquake / Tangshan earthquake / success of the prediction of Haicheng earthguake and negligence of imminent stage of Tangshan earthquake / Chi-chi earthquake

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Peng Funan. The success of the prediction of Haicheng earthquake and the negligence of the Tangshan earthquake. Strategic Study of CAE, 2008, 10(2): 9-18 DOI:

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