
Technology Foresight on China’s Engineering Science and Technology to 2035
Kunsheng Wang, Xiaoji Zhou, Xu Gong, Liangyuan Hu, Shengkai Sun, Chao Song, Chaofan Hou, JinDong Chen
Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2017, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (1) : 34-42.
Technology Foresight on China’s Engineering Science and Technology to 2035
Technology foresight is a process that promotes the integration of technology, the economy, and major planning projects, and explores the development of future technology. In consideration of the future economic and social development needs of our country, technology foresight in development strategy research on engineering science and technology involves predicting and selecting key technologies for engineering science and technology in the next 20 years. Combining objective analysis with subjective judgment, the methods and procedures applied in technology foresight on China's engineering science and technology to 2035 were designed by considering the characteristics of engineering science and technology. This technology foresight selects key, common, and disruptive technologies from more than 800 technologies in 11 fields, and analyzes their technical realization time, development level, and constraints. The results of the technology foresight are adopted to create a technology roadmap for China's engineering science and technology development to 2035 in various fields.
technology foresight / engineering science and technology / 2035 / key technology selection / realization time
[1] |
National Institute of Science and Technology Policy. Japan’s 10th science and technology foresight [R/OL]. (2015-08-12) [2016-10-15].
|
[2] |
孟弘, 许晔, 李振兴. 英国面向2030 年的技术预见及其对中国的启示 [J]. 中国科技论坛, 2013 (12): 155–160.
|
[3] |
Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre, Government Office for Sci-ence. Technology and innovation futures: UK growth opportunities for the 2020s [R/OL]. (2012-11-23) [2016-10-16].
|
[4] |
中国未来20 年技术预见研究组. 中国未来20 年技术预见 [M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2006.
|
[5] |
上海市科学学研究所. 上海科技发展重点领域技术预见研究报告(2013—2014) [M]. 上海: 上海科学技术出版社, 2015.
|
/
〈 |
|
〉 |