Journal Home Online First Current Issue Archive For Authors Journal Information 中文版

Strategic Study of CAE >> 2022, Volume 24, Issue 6 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2022.06.001

China’s Energy Development for 2035: Strategic Thinking and Suggestions

Chinese Academy of Engineering, Beijing 100088, China

Funding project:Chinese Academy of Engineering projects “Energy Strategies (2035)” (2019-ZD-20) and “Promoting the Assessment on Construction Process and the Research on Development Strategies of Modern Energy System” (2022-XZ-33) Received: 2022-08-25 Revised: 2022-10-30 Available online: 2022-11-22

Next Previous

Abstract

The period before 2035 is critical for China to realize socialist modernization. The high-quality development of its energy industry must consider basic national conditions and development stages. Moreover, promoting the green and low-carbon transformation of the energy industry while guaranteeing a stable energy supply is the prerequisite for ensuring the sustainable economic and social development. This study summarized the current status of China’s energy development from six aspects: energy capacity, energy structure, comprehensive energy efficiency, energy science and technology, system and mechanism, and energy security. The key issues of energy development were analyzed, focusing on the role of coal for guaranteeing energy security, replacement of traditional energies with renewable energies for incremental energy consumption, sustainable supply of oil and gas, independent development of nuclear power, and large-scale development of the hydrogen energy industry. Four stages were proposed for the energy revolution and carbon reduction in China by 2035. Furthermore, we suggest that energy conservation should be prioritized in all aspects, clean and efficient use of coal should be promoted, renewable energies should be the major source of future energy increment, and low-carbon transformation should be accelerated to create an energy system that features multi-energy complementation. 

References

[ 1 ] 国家统计局‍ . 中国统计年鉴2021 [M]‍. 北京 : 中国统计出版社 , 2022 ‍.

[ 2 ] 中国煤炭工业协会‍ . 2021煤炭行业发展年度报告 [R]‍. 北京 : 中国煤炭工业协会 , 2022 ‍.

[ 3 ] 中国石油集团经济技术研究院‍ . 2021年国内外油气行业发展报告 [R]‍. 北京 : 中国石油集团经济技术研究院 , 2022 ‍.

[ 4 ] 张亚雄‍ . 立足国情, 走好具有中国特色的煤炭清洁高效利用之路——访光华工程科技奖励基金会理事长、中国工程院院士谢克昌 [EBOL]‍. 2022-06-01 [ 2022-06-12 ]‍. https:app‍.gmdaily‍.cnasopenedn8b6f90ececcc4c9eb7b81dec72032f68‍ .

[ 5 ] 戴厚良 , 苏义脑 , 刘吉臻 , 等‍ . 碳中和目标下我国能源发展战略思考 [J]‍. 石油科技论坛 , 2022 , 41 1 : 1 ‒ 8 ‍.

[ 6 ] 周建平 , 杜效鹄 , 周兴波‍ . " 十四五"水电开发形势分析、预测与对策措施 [J]‍. 水电与抽水蓄能 , 2021 , 7 1 : 1 ‒ 5 ‍.

[ 7 ] 张瑞刚 , 王冰佳 , 王杰彬 , 等‍ . 海上风电叶片行业优点及发展阻碍分析 [J]‍. 船舶工程 , 2020 , 42 S1 : 523 ‒ 525 ‍.

[ 8 ] 李太江 , 李巍 , 刘立营 , 等‍ . 风电机组关键部件磨蚀现状及防治研究进展 [EBOL]‍. 2022-09-30 ‍[ 2022-10-08 ]‍. https:kns‍.cnki‍.netkcmsdetail11‍.3905‍.tg‍.20220927‍.1138‍.012‍.html‍ .

[ 9 ] 魏景东 , 赵增海 , 郭雁珩 , 等‍ . 2021年中国光伏发电发展现状与展望 [J]‍. 水力发电 , 2022 , 48 10 : 4 ‒ 8 ‍.

[10] 邱辰 , 赵增海 , 郭雁珩 , 等‍ . 2021年中国生物质发电现状与展望 [EBOL]‍. 2022-03-27 ‍[ 2022-10-08 ]‍. https:kns‍.cnki‍.netkcmsdetail11‍.1845‍.TV‍.20220926‍.1954‍.006‍.html‍ .

[11] 谢克昌‍ . 因地制宜推进区域能源革命的战略思考和建议 [J]‍. 中国工程科学 , 2021 , 23 1 : 1 ‒ 6 ‍.

[12] 彭述明 , 夏佳文 , 王毅韧 , 等‍ . 我国核安全技术发展战略研究 [J]‍. 中国工程科学 , 2021 , 23 3 : 113 ‒ 119 ‍.

[13] 瞿国华‍ . 我国氢能产业发展和氢资源探讨 [J]‍. 当代石油石化 , 2020 , 28 4 : 4 ‒ 9 ‍.

[14] 凌文 , 刘玮 , 李育磊 , 等‍ . 中国氢能基础设施产业发展战略研究 [J]‍. 中国工程科学 , 2019 , 21 3 : 76 ‒ 83 ‍.

[15] 张永生 , 董舵 , 肖逸 , 等‍ . 我国能源生产、消费、储能现状及碳中和条件下变化趋势 [J]‍. 科学通报 , 2021 , 66 34 : 4466 ‒ 4476 ‍.

Related Research