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Strategic Study of CAE >> 2018, Volume 20, Issue 1 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.01.018

Analysis on Vehicle Energy Demand and Key Mineral Resource Availability for Vehicle Production in China

1. Research Center for Contemporary Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

2. Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

3. China Automotive Energy Research Center of Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

4. School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China

Funding project:中国工程院咨询项目“汽车强国战略研究” (2015-XZ-36);国家自然科学基金项目(71774095);中国清洁发展机制基金赠款项目(2014095) Received: 2018-01-15 Revised: 2018-02-08 Available online: 2018-03-28 16:40:34.000

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Abstract

With the rapid growth in vehicle production, sales, and ownership, vehicle energy and key mineral resources for vehicle manufacture have become an important issue in China. This study predicts future vehicle ownership and analyzes the current situation in terms of utilization, technical development level, and development trend of vehicle energy and key mineral resources in China, by employing the Chinese vehicle ownership prediction model developed by the China Automotive Energy Research Center of Tsinghua University. The results indicate that China's vehicle ownership will continue to grow and the contradiction between the supply and demand of vehicle energy will be further highlighted. The mineral resource reserves, product performance, and technological level of vehicle materials in China need to be improved. Relevant policies are suggested to cope with the aforementioned challenges.

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