Analysis on Current and Potential Use of Technology Forecasting Tools in the U.S. Federal Government Agencies

Zongtan Sun, Yun Li, Haoyue Li, Tergul

Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2017, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (5) : 92-96.

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Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2017, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (5) : 92-96. DOI: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.05.016
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Analysis on Current and Potential Use of Technology Forecasting Tools in the U.S. Federal Government Agencies

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Abstract

The report entitled Current and Potential Use of Technology Forecasting Tools in the U.S. Federal Government released by the Institute for Defense Analyses summed up the current state and capabilities of technology forecasting tools desired by the U.S. federal government agencies. On the basis of this report, this paper summarizes the application of the technology forecasting tools of the U.S. federal government agencies, and provides reference for the development of corresponding technical forecasting tools in China.

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U.S. federal government agencies / technology forecasting tools / automation

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Zongtan Sun, Yun Li, Haoyue Li, Tergul. Analysis on Current and Potential Use of Technology Forecasting Tools in the U.S. Federal Government Agencies. Strategic Study of CAE, 2017, 19(5): 92‒96 https://doi.org/10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.05.016

References

[1]
Sylak-Glassman E J, Williams S R, Gupta N. Current and potential use of technology forecasting tools in the U.S. Federal Government [R]. Virginia: Institute for Defense Analyses, 2016.
[2]
National Research Council (NRC), Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies. Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies [R]. Washington DC: National Academies Press, 2010.
[3]
Wolfers J, Zitzewitz E. Prediction markets [J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004, 18(2): 107–126.
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