PDF(1121 KB)
Vision-Driven Research on China's Engineering Science and Technology Development Strategy to 2040
Comprehensive Research Group of Research on China's Engineering Science and Technology Development Strategy to 2040
Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2024, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (5) : 1-14.
PDF(1121 KB)
PDF(1121 KB)
Vision-Driven Research on China's Engineering Science and Technology Development Strategy to 2040
Currently, global technological innovation is unprecedentedly intensive and active, and the forms of technology and industry are undergoing systematic changes. Disruptive and systemic innovations in engineering science and technology have become the focus of strategic competition. Based on the development demand for engineering science and technology in China and the world trends of engineering science and technology development, this study proposes a strategic research method system that consists of economic forecasting, demand analysis, technology foresight, vision analysis, strategic architecture, technology roadmap, and policy selection. The study also predicts the economic and social development trends in China by 2040 and depicts nine visions of Chinese society in 2040. Based on the strategic research on the development of engineering science and technology in major fields, an overall strategic concept of engineering science and technology development is proposed centering on the nine visions, which involves promoting information technologies, reshaping the energy system, innovating industrial science and technologies, constructing the future cities, developing the blue economy, revitalizing agriculture and the rural areas, safeguarding the health of all the people, building a beautiful China, and constructing a safe China. An overall two-stage roadmap for engineering science and technology development between now and 2040 is also proposed. At the first stage, it is necessary to strengthen the industrial foundation and chain, achieve international leadership in major fields of engineering science and technology, and develop new areas and technologies with core competitiveness. At the second stage, it is suggested to focus on security, resilience, and original innovation and build a new technological ecosystem.
engineering science and technology / future vision / demand analysis / 2040 / technology roadmap
| [1] |
习近平. 论科技自立自强: 大字本 [M]. 北京: 中央文献出版社, 2023.
Xi J P. On self-reliance and strength in science and technology:Large type edition [M]. Beijing: Central Party Literature Press, 2023.
|
| [2] |
中国工程科技中长期发展战略研究项目组. 中国工程科技中长期发展战略研究 [M]. 北京: 中国科学技术出版社, 2015.
Project Team of Research on Mid-long Term Development Strategy of China's Engineering Science and Technology. Research on medium and long term development strategy of China's engineering science and technology [M]. Beijing: China Science & Technology Press, 2015.
|
| [3] |
"中国工程科技发展战略研究"项目组. 中国工程科技2035发展战略 - 综合报告 [M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2019.
Project Team of the Development Strategy Research of China's Engineering Science and Technology. The development strategy of China's engineering science and technology for 2035: Synthesis report [M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2019.
|
| [4] |
王宏伟, 张静, 张艳芳, 等. 面向未来重点产业和领域发展的工程科技需求分析——以医疗和能源领域为例 [J]. 中国科技论坛, 2022 (10): 31‒41.
Wang H W, Zhang J, Zhang Y F, et al. Analysis on engineering technology needs for the future development of key industries and fields—Taking health care and energy industries as examples [J]. Forum on Science and Technology in China, 2022 (10): 31‒41.
|
| [5] |
"工程科技领域需求分析研究"课题组. 2021—2040年中国经济社会发展对工程科技的需求深度研究报告 [R]. 辽宁: 大连理工大学, 2024.
Research Group on Demand Analysis of Engineering Science and Technology. In-depth research report on the demand for engineering science and technology in China's economic and social development from 2021—2040 [R]. Liaoning: Dalian University of Technology, 2024.
|
| [6] |
"中国工程科技发展战略研究"项目组. 中国工程科技2035发展战略–技术预见报告 [M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2019.
Project Team of the Development Strategy Research of China's Engineering Science and Technology. The development strategy of China's engineering science and technology for 2035: Technology foresight report [M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2019.
|
| [7] |
陈进东, 张永伟, 梁桂林, 等. 中国工程科技2035关键技术选择与评估 [J]. 中国软科学, 2019 (8): 144‒153.
Chen J D, Zhang Y W, Liang G L, et al. Key technology selection and evaluation for China's engineering science and technology to 2035 [J]. China Soft Science, 2019 (8): 144‒153.
|
| [8] |
王崑声, 周晓纪, 龚旭, 等. 中国工程科技2035技术预见研究 [J]. 中国工程科学, 2017, 19(1): 34‒42.
Wang K S, Zhou X J, Gong X, et al. Technology foresight on China's engineering science and technology to 2035 [J]. Strategic Study of CAE, 2017, 19(1): 34‒42.
|
| [9] |
"中国工程科技2035发展战略研究"总体项目组. 支撑强国目标的中国工程科技发展战略路径谋划 [J]. 中国工程科学, 2017, 19(1): 27‒33.
Task Force for the Research on China's Engineering Science, Technology Development Strategy Comprehensive Research Group. Strategy and route-planning research on China's engineering science and technology development [J]. Strategic Study of CAE, 2017, 19(1): 27‒33.
|
| [10] |
刘建丽, 李娇. 智能制造: 概念演化、体系解构与高质量发展 [J]. 改革, 2024 (2): 75‒88.
Liu J L, Li J. Intelligent manufacturing: Conceptual evolution, system deconstruction and high-quality development [J]. Reform, 2024 (2): 75‒88.
|
| [11] |
韩佳伟, 朱文颖, 张博, 等. 装备与信息协同促进现代智慧农业发展研究 [J]. 中国工程科学, 2022, 24(1): 55‒63.
Han J W, Zhu W Y, Zhang B, et al. Equipment and information collaboration to promote development of modern smart agriculture [J]. Strategic Study of CAE, 2022, 24(1): 55‒63.
|
| [12] |
MITRE. A national strategy for digital health [EB/OL]. (2022-03-01)[2024-08-09]. https://www.mitre.org/news-insights/publication/national-strategy-digital-health.
|
| [13] |
World Health Organization. Regional digital health action plan for the WHO European Region 2023—2030 (RC72) [EB/OL]. (2022-08-01)[2024-08-09]. https://www.who.int/europe/publications/i/item/EUR-RC72-5.
|
| [14] |
霍治方, 刘刚. 智能化转型背景下自动驾驶产业化的中国实践 [J]. 中国科技论坛, 2024 (7): 95‒109.
Huo Z F, Liu G. China's practice of industrializing autonomous driving in the context of intelligent transformation [J]. Forum on Science and Technology in China, 2024 (7): 95‒109.
|
| [15] |
Liu M N, Fang S L, Dong H Y, et al. Review of digital twin about concepts, technologies, and industrial applications [J]. Journal of Manufacturing Systems, 2021, 58(B): 346‒361.
|
| [16] |
Cai L, Sun Y, Zheng Z B, et al. Blockchain in China [J]. Communications of the ACM, 2021, 64(11): 88‒93.
|
| [17] |
UN-Habitat. World cities report 2022: Envisaging the future of cities [EB/OL]. (2022)[2023-11-12]. https://unhabitat.org/wcr/.
|
| [18] |
Programme U N E. 2023 global status report for buildings and construction: Beyond foundations-Mainstreaming sustainable solutions to cut emissions from the buildings sector [R]. Gigiri Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme, 2024.
|
| [19] |
秦阿宁, 孙玉玲. 国际碳捕集、利用与封存发展战略与科技态势分析 [J]. 中国科学院院刊, 2024, 39(8): 1486‒1496.
Qin A N, Sun Y L. International development strategy and analysis of science and technology trends in carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) [J]. Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2024, 39(8): 1486‒1496.
|
| [20] |
庞敏, 张益畅. 我国发展二氧化碳驱油技术的路径思考 [J]. 西南石油大学学报(社会科学版), 2024, 26(4): 1‒9.
Pang M, Zhang Y C. The path of developing CO2 flooding technology in China [J]. Journal of Southwest Petroleum University (Social Sciences Edition), 2024, 26(4): 1‒9.
|
| [21] |
马茹, 王宏伟, 张静. 基于2050年中国人口发展愿景的工程科技需求分析 [J]. 技术经济, 2022, 41(7): 73‒82.
Ma R, Wang H W, Zhang J. A demand analysis of science and technology based on China's population vision in 2050 [J]. Journal of Technology Economics, 2022, 41(7): 73‒82.
|
| [22] |
电力规划设计总院. 中国新型储能发展报告2023 [R].北京: 电力规划设计总院, 2023.
China Electric Power Planning & Engineering Institute. Report on China new energy storage development 2023 [R]. Beijing: China Electric Power Planning & Engineering Institute, 2023.
|
| [23] |
高旺盛, 王小龙, 杨富裕, 等. 农业科技强国评价指标体系与中国实现度分析 [J]. 中国农业大学学报, 2021, 26(12): 1‒10.
Gao W S, Wang X L, Yang F Y, et al. Evaluation index system and realization degree analysis of China agricultural science and technology power [J]. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2021, 26(12): 1‒10.
|
| [24] |
黄季焜, 胡瑞法, 易红梅, 等. 面向2050年我国农业发展愿景与对策研究 [J]. 中国工程科学, 2022, 24(1): 11‒19.
Huang J K, Hu R F, Yi H M, et al. Development visions and policies of China's agriculture by 2050 [J]. Strategic Study of CAE, 2022, 24(1): 11‒19.
|
| [25] |
蔡宝刚. 论习近平法治思想中的国家安全法治理论 [J]. 法学, 2022 (1): 3‒19.
Cai B G. Theory on the rule of law of national security in Xi Jinping's thought of rule of law [J]. Law Science, 2022 (1): 3‒19.
|
| [26] |
潘云鹤, 唐启升. 海洋工程科技中长期发展战略研究报告 [M]. 北京: 海洋出版社, 2020.
Pan Y H, Tang Q S. Research report on medium and long-term development strategy of marine engineering science and technology [M]. Beijing: Ocean Press, 2020.
|
| [27] |
中华人民共和国国务院新闻办公室. 2021中国的航天 [M]. 北京: 人民出版社, 2022.
The State Council Information Office of the People's Republic of China. China's space program: A 2021 perspective [M]. Beijing: People's Publishing House, 2022.
|
| [28] |
范维澄. 落实总体国家安全观 推动应急管理体系和能力现代化 [J]. 中国减灾, 2024 (1): 10‒11.
Fan W C. Implementing the overall national security concept and promoting the modernization of emergency management system and capacity [J]. Disaster Reduction in China, 2024 (1): 10‒11.
|
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |
AI Summary
