The feasibility of accurate earthquake prediction by HRT wave and examples of strong earthquakes including Wenchuan Earthquake (M =8)

Zhao Yulin、Qian Fuye

Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2009, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (6) : 111-122.

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PDF(1261 KB)
Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2009, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (6) : 111-122.

The feasibility of accurate earthquake prediction by HRT wave and examples of strong earthquakes including Wenchuan Earthquake (M =8)

  • Zhao Yulin、Qian Fuye

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Abstract

The method of earthquake short-term and impending prediction by using tidal wave (abbr HRTwave method) is a new, quantitative technology of simultaneous determination of the location, magnitude and time of an earthquake.The earthquake preparation processes and precursor mechanism are considered as a "blackbox" .Using the modern control theory in system recognition, we can calibrate this "black box"  mathematically with different input and output parameters.We regard the tidal force as our "input signal"  while geoelectric response to the tidal forces is considered as an "output" .

Keywords

“black box”& HRT wave model / PS-100HRT instrument system / discovery of HRT wave precursor and its regularity / practicality of HRT wave model

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Zhao Yulin and Qian Fuye. The feasibility of accurate earthquake prediction by HRT wave and examples of strong earthquakes including Wenchuan Earthquake (M =8). Strategic Study of CAE, 2009, 11(6): 111‒122
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